AI Is Gutting the Tech Sector: Employment Plunges 22%, Hits 7-Year Low
One Number Silicon Valley Cannot Explain Away: 22% Since the August 2022 peak, the Information sector across San Francisco and the northern part of Silicon Valley has lost 28,914 jobs. That is a 22% decline, and it has wiped out…
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One Number Silicon Valley Cannot Explain Away: 22%
Since the August 2022 peak, the Information sector across San Francisco and the northern part of Silicon Valley has lost 28,914 jobs. That is a 22% decline, and it has wiped out the region’s entire pandemic-era hiring boom, according to Federal Reserve data. The sector now employs 102,529 people, its lowest level since October 2019. The decline has not stopped. The region has lost 3,007 jobs since March alone.
The Information sector covers much of the region’s software, internet, telecom and media workforce. These are the jobs that turned the Bay Area into the center of the tech economy, and they are contracting at a pace last seen when the dot-com bubble burst.
What It Means
A data covers 1995 through 2026, and shows the sector reaching an all-time peak of 131,443 jobs before turning sharply lower. There is a steady rise from about 2008 through 2022, but that entire run of growth has now reversed.
History offers a serious benchmark. The 2001 recession cost the sector 17,719 jobs, or 26%. The current downturn has already cut more jobs in raw terms, and in percentage terms it is getting close to that recession’s damage.
The losses reach past the Information sector. In the same region, Professional, Scientific and Technical Services employment has fallen by 35,500 jobs since June 2022. That is a 13.2% decline, leaving the sector at 198,800 jobs, its lowest level since March 2019. After the 2000 dot-com bust, this sector lost 28% of its jobs through October 2003.
The weakness also shows up nationally. U.S. Information employment fell to 2,759 thousand in August 2026, down 28,000 (-1.0%) from July. It is the lowest reading of the past year and well below the 2,866 thousand recorded in December 2025. This national series is not seasonally adjusted.
Market Reaction
Shares did not show a significant reaction in available data. No single stock is tied to this regional employment figure. The overall labor market, however, looks steady. Initial jobless claims were 197,000 for the week ending September 19, 2026, below the 200K line that marks a very strong labor market. Job openings came in at 7.08M in August, down 3.5% from a month earlier. Total nonfarm payrolls reached a preliminary 159,075 (in thousands) in August 2026, up from 158,472 a year earlier.
Bear Case
The bear case starts with that gap between tech and everyone else. The overall economy is adding jobs and layoffs remain low, yet two core tech sectors in the country’s main tech region sit at multi-year lows. That pattern points to a structural problem inside tech, and a general recession does not explain it.
The trend is also getting worse. The drop of 3,007 jobs since March shows no sign of a bottom, and the national Information series has just posted its lowest reading of the past year. The data do not single out AI as the cause, but the tech giants have identified the technology as the primary reason for shedding jobs. Policymakers are also treating the risk as real, though. A UK minister said this week that the country needs a plan in case of “unprecedented” AI job losses. Former U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo laid out best- and worst-case scenarios for AI job losses on CNBC.
For long-term investors, a contracting tech workforce in Silicon Valley undermines the case that the region’s growth engine is still adding capacity. When the industry that set the pace for a decade of hiring gives back a 22% share of its jobs, it is showing that its model has changed.
Bottom Line
Retirement savers with heavy tech exposure should pay close attention to this figure. Silicon Valley’s Information sector is back to October 2019 levels. The professional services workforce around it is back to March 2019 levels. Meanwhile, the national labor market holds firm. In the Bay Area, the pandemic boom has fully reversed.
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