Expected Defense in Level 3 Communications

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published

Level 3 Communications (LVLT) is down over 4% on high volume today after it was cut to Sell at Deutsche Bank in pre-market trading, but its target was raised target to $4.65. This is a head scratcher and it probably won’t be too long before bulls start defending it.  As a reminder this was Cramer’s Top Speculative Pick for 2007, and you can be generally sure that he will not have a change of heart soon enough that he would not be out defending it.  He also named it his best "Under $10 Pick" at the end of 2006.

Other recent analyst calls from the last two weeks: Credit Suisse gave it an outperform rating with a $7.50 target.  J.P.Morgan raised its price target to $8.00 and maintained an overweight rating.  There are other calls on it, but you can expect the vocal bulls in the name to be out discussing this as a gift.  I don’t have any dogs in the fight at all, but I can say that if I was a holder and I saw this research report this morning it would be a head scratcher and would make me wonder the logic behind the call.

This research note is one that will be challenged by the bulls.  The initial call from Deutsche Bank was a Hold back in August when it was much lower, so a downgrade and raised target after a rise?  It sounds like "I was wrong, and now even more wrong."  I can hear Cramer on it now: "What the…. Dumb as a bag of hammers…. Thanks for the nothing call…." and the like.

LVLT is down 4.4% at $6.32, and its 52-week trading range is $3.21 to $6.80.

Jon C. Ogg
January 17, 2007

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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