Suze Orman Warns: Your Memory of Peak Wealth Is Sabotaging Your Retirement
Suze Orman calls it the first and most dangerous investor mistake, and retirees make it constantly without realizing it. The number you keep thinking about may be quietly draining the retirement account you actually have.
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Suze Orman opened a Classic Suze School episode of her Women & Money podcast with a ordered list of investor errors. The first one fits in one line: “Your first one, seriously, is you look at what you had, not at what you have.”
If you’re at or near retirement, that line is about real money. The balance on your best statement no longer exists. Every withdrawal, every allocation choice and every decision about when to stop working has to start from today’s statement. If you build a plan on the number you remember, you’ll be spending money you don’t have.
The episode re-airs earlier Suze School material. Her points are general rules about investor behavior, and they apply in any market.
Orman Gets It Right, and Your Old Peak Balance Shows Why
Her first rule is correct. For retirees, it may be the most important of the three. The mechanism behind it is called anchoring. Your brain treats the highest number it saw as the reference point and judges everything else against it.
Anchoring usually drives people into one of two moves. The first is freezing. You won’t rebalance or adjust because acting would make the loss feel real. But the loss is already in the balance. Waiting for the old number before you act hands your decisions to the market’s calendar.
The second is reaching. You load up on riskier holdings to win back the old figure faster. A retiree has less time to recover from another drop, so this adds risk at the moment you can least afford it.
Withdrawals make the damage real. A retirement income plan is a ratio: what you take out each year compared with what you actually own. If you set your withdrawals from the old peak, you’re pulling a bigger piece of your real balance than you think. The money you spend is also gone for good, so it can’t recover when prices do. The overspending gets worse every year.
When You Need the Money Decides How Much Anchoring Costs You
What matters most is how many years you have before you spend this money. If those dollars won’t be touched for years, a lower balance today just means lower prices on the shares you buy next. Anchoring hurts you here mainly by keeping you from buying.
Money you’ll need in the next few years is different. Chasing the old number with that money is the dangerous move, because it has no time to come back. Those dollars belong somewhere stable, and the early years of retirement are where a bad market does the most permanent damage (we walked through that sequence-of-returns problem, and how to protect against it, in a free guide).
All or Nothing Investing Leaves You Exposed Both Ways
Orman’s next target is the investor who swings between extremes: “The next mistake that you make is that you are an all or nothing investor. For some reason you don’t feel like the concept of dollar cost averaging is something that you can do. So you either do something with all of your money or you do absolutely nothing at all.”
Her fix is direct: “You have to dollar cost average.”
Dollar cost averaging means picking a fixed amount and investing it on a set schedule, such as monthly or quarterly, whatever the price. When prices fall, the same dollars buy more shares. When prices rise, they buy fewer. Over time your average cost per share evens out. Anyone who has had a 401(k) deduction come out of every paycheck has already done this.
For a retiree holding a lump sum from a rollover, a home sale or an inheritance, this turns one high-stakes decision into a series of small ones. It also fixes the freeze, because the schedule makes the call for you.
Selling in Fear Turns a Paper Loss Into a Permanent One
Her third trap ties the episode together: “All the people that consistently made money never sold because they weren’t afraid when they bought it. So do you understand that one of the biggest mistakes you can make is when fear rules your emotions in anything in your life?”
While you hold an investment that has fallen, the loss exists only on paper. Selling makes it real and gives up any chance that money had to recover. Fear usually keeps you on the sidelines on the way back up too. So a fear-driven investor tends to sell low and buy back higher, which locks in the exact loss they were trying to avoid. Anchoring feeds this. The bigger the gap from the old peak looks, the louder the fear gets.
Five Steps to Build Your Plan From Today’s Balance
- Write down today’s balance and cross out the peak. Recalculate your annual withdrawal from the current number, and treat it as the only figure your plan uses.
- Sort your money by when you’ll spend it. Move money you need in the next few years into stable holdings. Keep only long-term money in growth investments, where a lower price can work in your favor.
- Put idle cash on an automatic schedule. Pick a set amount and a set frequency, then automate it at your brokerage. That ends the choice between all and nothing.
- Use Orman’s fear test before every purchase. She tells listeners to “be very clear in knowing why you are investing in something and are you afraid?” Write your reason down. If fear is driving the decision, wait.
- Review on a fixed date. Pick one day a year, such as your birthday, to rebalance. Leave the portfolio alone the rest of the time unless your spending needs change.
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