Google Moves From A Stock Of Hope To A Stock Of Doubt

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published

Google’s (GOOG) stock is having a really rocky time.  On January 31, the stock hit $505. Today, it dropped below $470. A drop of 7% in such a short time is worth a look. The shares can’t seem to find a floor.

Over the weekend, Time Magazine ran a piece about what Yahoo! (YHOO) would have to do to turn itself around. It covered Panama taking share from Google and a lot of other news magazine junk. But, why anyone would use Panama over Google’s product unless it is substantially better is really hard to say.

Google’s earnings weren’t good enough for a lot of investors. There is fear that as the company’s growth inevitably slows and it invests in new products that margins will drop. Fair, and probably true.

And, then there is the news that Viacom wants about 100,000 videos containing its content taken down from Google property YouTube. The YouTube buy will look expensive if the fight with big content holders goes on. But, the other side of that argument is that the YouTube audience is too large to be ignored at an outlet and that content owners will eventually come back with distribution deals.

The real problem for Google is that it has gone from being a stock of hope to a stock of doubt. That has happened to other big stocks over the years. Certainly Microsoft (MSFT) and Yahoo! qualify. In the collective minds of investors Google has more going against it than for it, at least for now. Being the leader in search is giving way to concerns about competition and whether its efforts outside its core competence will ever an pay off.

The floor under that stock may keep falling.

Douglas A. McIntyre can be reached at [email protected]. He does not own securities in companies that he writes about.

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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