With Election Day just two days away, we’re taking one last look at polling results for the ballot measures voters in nine states will be considering. Voters in five states will decide whether to allow recreational marijuana use, and voters in the other four are considering medical marijuana use.
New polling in California has increased the proportion of voters who say they support Prop 64 by three points. In Massachusetts the proportion of supporters jumped from less than 50% to 62% in the most recent poll. In Nevada, no new poll results were reported this week. In Arizona, the latest poll shows a close vote in favor of legalization. In Maine, support dropped by three points.
Here’s a list of the latest polling numbers in the five states where voters will decide whether to legalize marijuana for recreational use, based on reports from Ballotpedia.
- Arizona (Proposition 205): 48% in favor; 47% opposed; 4% undecided
- California (Proposition 64): 58% in favor; 37% opposed; 5% undecided
- Maine (Question 1): 50% in favor; 41% opposed; 9% undecided
- Massachusetts (Question 4): 62% in favor; 33% opposed; 4% undecided
- Nevada (Question 2): 47% in favor; 43% opposed; 11% undecided
In states considering medical marijuana measures, a plurality of Arkansas voters now supports Issue 6.
In Florida, there was a slight dip in support last week for Amendment 2, making medical marijuana legal in the state. Because this is a constitutional amendment, 60% of voters must approve the measure. Just over 71% of Florida residents now support medical marijuana, down from 74%.
In Montana, medical marijuana was legalized in 2011, but the state legislature passed strict dispensary laws that were upheld by the state supreme court earlier this year and have effectively put dispensaries out of business. The last poll, in early October, shows supporters of making medical marijuana easier to get had 44% of the vote, compared with 51% for opponents. There has been no new polling in North Dakota in the past week.
- Arkansas (Issue 6): 50% in favor; 43% opposed; 5% undecided
- Florida (Amendment 2): 71.3% in favor; 21.6% opposed; 7.1% undecided
- Montana (I-182): 44% in favor; 51% oppose; 5% undecided
- North Dakota (Measure 5): no polling
The Big Winner on November 8 Could Be … Marijuana
With pot on the ballot in nine states, the big winner in next Tuesday’s election could be America’s legal cannabis industry. By 2020, legal market sales are expected to surpass $22 billion. And for states struggling with budget shortfalls, that extra revenue would be clearly welcome.
Voters in five states — Arizona, California, Maine, Massachusetts and Nevada — will decide whether to legalize recreational marijuana for adults. Medical marijuana is on the ballot in Arkansas, Florida, Montana, and North Dakota.
Supporters believe the marijuana measures will pass in California and Florida, and possibly several other states, because America’s attitude about pot has changed significantly in the last few years.
“It’s well established that the majority of Americans now believe that the responsible use of marijuana by adults should not be a criminal offense,” said Paul Armentano, deputy director of NORML, the National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws.
Read more at NBC News.