Institutional Broker Defends Goldman Sachs (GS)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published
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Goldman_sachs_logoSandler O’Neill is an institutional brokerage firm that many individual investors have not ever heard of, yet it has been around for roughly 20 years.  It also does business in some form or fashion with most of the big institutions on Wall Street.  So it is with no surprise that the firm sticking its flag in the sand and calling Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) a "buy" is actually helping shares of broker-turned-banker stock.

The firm raised Goldman Sachs’ rating to a "Buy" from "Hold" today.  It expects Goldman Sachs to post itsfirst quarterly loss, and its old $1.43 EPS estimate is now -$1.72 EPS.

The firm said the stock is a good value which will rebound in 2009 and end up being a strong long-terminvestment for those who can weather this storm.   Its thesis is thatGoldman would have to lose money for nine consecutive quarters at thecurrent rate for its tangible book value to come down to the current shareprice.

This upgrade couldn’t have come at a better time for shareholders andcouldn’t have been a gutsier call.  This is ahead of the actualearnings report and comes within a hair of the stock’s 52-week low. 

Shares are up 2.5% today at $72.70 and the intra-day low is $66.68.Before today, the prior 52-week trading range was $68.51 to $240.05.  At the end of last quarter, Goldman Sachs listed its own metrics of book value per common share as being $99.30.

Regardless of how this turns out, this is probably the boldest research call of the week. 

Jon C. Ogg
November 11, 2008

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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