Car Loan Delinquencies Rocket Up

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published

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TransUnion reports the auto loan delinquency moved up sharply in the third quarter. The national 60-day auto delinquency rate (the ratio of auto loan borrowers 60 or more days past due) rose between the second and third quarters of 2009 (from 0.73 percent to 0.81 percent). TransUnion’s forecasting models  indicate that the national 60-day auto delinquency rate will rise to almost 0.9 percent by year-end.

The news should be disturbing to both economists and government officials because it is a sign that one of the better barometers of consumer credit is showing signs of deteriorating as the year passes and the economy “recovers.”

It is also not terribly good news for the car companies, either. The Big Three are expecting that they will be able to count on easier access to credit for auto buyers to help sales. Tight lending standards are one of the things that has hurt car sales this year. High delinquency rates are not likely to encourage financial firms to loosen restrictions for car loans.

Auto manufacturers also have to deal with consumers who know that they will have trouble making payments. Behind every delinquent loan are other potential loans that were never made to people who believe that buying a vehicle would stretch their financial resources too much.

The car loan delinquency rate has two victims–banks and car companies. Neither of them can stand much more bad news

Douglas A. McIntyre

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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