The US expansion is 10 months past average, but the record is still far off
As seen on the 24/7 Wall St. homepage on November 1, 2026.
This expansion is already 10 months past the postwar average, with the 128-month record still 51 months away, so age alone is a weak reason to de-risk a portfolio here.
RT @charliebilello: The US economy has now been in an expansion for 77 months. Average expansion since 1949: 67 months Longest: 128 months…
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The current US economic expansion reached 77 months as of November 2026, and history does not support treating age alone as a reason to pull back.
The longest expansion on record since 1949 ran 128 months, so this one still has room to run. Investors who de-risked portfolios purely because the expansion felt old would have left a lot of runway on the table.
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Charlie Bilello, who tracks long-run market and economic data closely, shared the figures to provide context against a common fear: that a long expansion is automatically a fragile one. The data across postwar cycles does not bear that out.
Conditions matter more than the calendar for investors right now. Age is a weak signal on its own, and the gap between the current expansion and the record high is wide enough that duration alone is a thin basis for repositioning.