These Are the Counties In the Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD Metro Area Where COVID-19 Is Growing the Slowest

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By Steven M. Peters Published
These Are the Counties In the Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD Metro Area Where COVID-19 Is Growing the Slowest

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After adding over 378,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 78.3 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 940,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise, albeit at a slowing rate. In the past week, there were an average of 22.6 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — a decrease from the week prior, when there were an average of 31.4 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD, metro area consists of Baltimore County, the city of Baltimore, Anne Arundel County, and four other counties. In the past week, there were an average of 11.5 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Baltimore residents, less than the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is a decrease from the week prior, when there were an average of 59.3 daily new cases per 100,000 Baltimore residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Baltimore-Columbia-Towson metro area, COVID-19 is growing the slowest in Baltimore County. There were an average of 9.2 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Baltimore County during the past week, the least of the seven counties in Baltimore with available data.

Case growth in the Baltimore metro area varies at the county level. In Baltimore city, for example, there were an average of 16.0 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the most of any county in Baltimore and more than the case growth rate in Baltimore County.

While Baltimore County has the slowest case growth in the Baltimore area, it does not have the lowest incidence of cases overall. As of March 3, there were a total of 15,770.7 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Baltimore County, the sixth fewest of the seven counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 24,130.9 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

The pandemic has led to the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses around the country. These changes have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. These changes have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Baltimore County, unemployment peaked at 10.5% in April 2020. As of June 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 6.5%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the slowest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending March 3. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Maryland where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA County Population New daily cases per 100,000, week ending March 3 New daily cases per 100,000, week ending February 24 Cumulative cases per 100,000 Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1 Baltimore County 828,018 9.2 61.5 15,770.7 291.7
2 Harford County 252,222 9.8 52.2 14,966.2 224.4
3 Anne Arundel County 571,275 10.2 50.6 15,440.9 181.7
4 Queen Anne’s County 49,632 10.6 45.2 14,119.9 217.6
5 Carroll County 167,699 11.1 38.8 12,543.3 232.0
6 Howard County 318,855 12.6 47.4 13,492.7 115.1
7 Baltimore city 609,032 16.0 80.6 18,144.5 284.4
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