Companies /Energy

Marathon Petroleum Corp

NYSE: MPC Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
$362.49
â–² $0.22 (+0.06%) today
Markets open · 1:38pm ET
24/7 Rating HOLD
12-Month Price Target
$359.89 −0.6% downside

Set by 24/7 Wall St.’s proprietary analysis of professional targets, profit trajectory, sector, risk, and retail attention. How we calculate our price targets →

Current close $362.03
Street consensus $324.56
Ours vs. the Street +10.9%
$294.01Conservative$362.03Current$359.89Our Target$383.30Optimistic
12-Month Projection Historical Optimistic Target Conservative
$210$280$350Aug 2025Aug 2027Today$383.30$359.89$294.01
$210$280$350Aug 2025Aug 2027Today$383.30$359.89$294.01

Analyst Sentiment

19ANALYSTS
Buy1053%
Hold737%
Sell211%
The Bottom Line

Marathon Petroleum is fairly valued at current levels. With our price target of $359.89 suggesting limited downside, the stock appears to be trading near fair value. Consider your portfolio allocation and investment timeline before making a decision.

The 24/7 Factor

Base Growth
Conservative growth baseline (reduced to avoid double-counting P/E growth)
1.05×
Analyst Consensus
Moderate analyst optimism
+2.5%
Earnings Growth
Strong earnings acceleration
+3.0%
Volatility Adjustment
Lower volatility stock
+1.0%
Price Position
Upper range of 52-week trading
+0.5%
Social Sentiment
Bullish retail sentiment
+1.6%
Read our full methodology →

5-Year Projection

Long-Term Forecast Optimistic Target Conservative
$300$360$420’26’27’28’29’30’31$459.01$407.75$288.35
$300$360$420’26’27’28’29’30’31$459.01$407.75$288.35

Prediction History

MPC Price Target History Our Target Stock Price
$240$280$320$360Jul 16Aug 21$358.67$360.72
$240$280$320$360Jul 16Aug 21$358.67$360.72
Date Price Target Stock Price Rating Upside
$358.67 $360.72 HOLD −0.6%
$335.25 $355.42 HOLD −5.7%
$316.91 $298.20 BUY +6.3%
$240.47 $316.47 SELL −24.0%
$238.99 $312.27 SELL −23.5%
$229.18 $307.87 SELL −25.6%

Social Sentiment

72/100
Sentiment Score
Bullish
Retail Mood
Low
Discussion Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the MPC stock price prediction for 2030?

Looking ahead to 2030, our model projects MPC could trade at an average price of $398.16, with a potential range between $298.62 and $497.71. This represents a potential 10.0% return from today’s price. Long-term forecasts depend heavily on company execution, competitive dynamics, and broader market conditions.

Is MPC a buy, sell, or hold right now?

24/7 Wall St. currently rates MPC as a HOLD. Near fair value (-0.6%) Among Wall Street analysts, 10 rate it Buy, 7 rate it Hold, and 2 rate it Sell.

What is the MPC stock price target in an optimistic scenario?

Our optimistic scenario for MPC projects a price of $383.30 over the next 12 months. This represents modest upside of 5.9% from today’s price, suggesting the stock may be fairly valued at current levels even under favorable conditions.

What is the downside risk for MPC stock?

In our conservative scenario, MPC could trade as low as $294.01 over the next 12 months, representing a 18.8% decline from current levels. This scenario accounts for potential headwinds including earnings misses, competitive pressures, or broader market weakness.

Projections are estimates based on current data, updated daily. Not investment advice. Learn how we calculate these projections →