What are prediction markets saying about Tesla?

Polymarket currently has 10 active prediction markets for Tesla (TSLA). The overall crowd sentiment is neutral based on composite analysis of market odds and trading activity.

Where can I trade prediction markets for TSLA?

Polymarket is a leading prediction market platform where you can trade event contracts related to Tesla (TSLA). Contract prices reflect crowd probability estimates — a contract at 70 cents implies a 70% chance the event occurs.

Is Tesla stock expected to go up or down?

The composite prediction market sentiment for Tesla (TSLA) is currently neutral. This reflects aggregated crowd intelligence from active event contracts, though prediction markets should be one input among many in investment decisions.

How do prediction markets work for stocks?

Prediction markets allow traders to buy and sell contracts based on future outcomes, such as whether a stock will reach a certain price by a specific date. Contract prices reflect the crowd's probability estimate — a contract trading at 70 cents implies a 70% probability the event will occur.

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Tesla Prediction Markets

Prediction market odds, news, and analysis on TSLA

TSLA

$426.51

All TSLA markets on Polymarket

Largest Current Market

$375.3K volume

How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?

65% Yes / 35% No View market ↓

Prediction market shift over the past week 7.7 points more bearish

Polymarket Overview

View all 13 markets

Total Volume

$552.6K

24h Volume

$116.6K

Active Markets

10 of 13 markets · Polymarket (10)

65% Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?

Expired $375.3K vol

Polymarket

All Outcomes

65%

Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

20%

Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026

11%

Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Tesla deliver less than 300000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Tesla deliver between 325000 and 350000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026

8% Yes

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Expired $114.7K vol

Polymarket

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100% SpaceX

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

Expired $50.0K vol

Polymarket

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99% Up

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 1?

Expires in 1h $2.1K vol

Polymarket

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100% $410

Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on July 1?

Expires in 1h $1.1K vol

Polymarket

All Outcomes

100%

$410

98%

$390

98%

$400

97%

$420

$430

3% $367.50

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of June 29 2026?

Expires in 3d $2.6K vol

Polymarket

All Outcomes

$367.50

$360

$375

$352.50

$345

$337.50

$330

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98% $375

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 29 above___?

Expires in 3d $1.4K vol

Polymarket

All Outcomes

98%

$375

98%

$355

98%

$350

98%

$345

97%

$385

97%

$370

97%

$395

97%

$390

97%

$360

96%

$365

96%

$380

96%

$400

93%

$405

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96% $400

Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Jun 29 at ___?

Expires in 3d $316 vol

Polymarket

All Outcomes

96%

$400

$375

$355

$390

$395

$365

$360

$370

$385

$380

$355

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94% $320

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of July?

Exp Jul 31 $1.5K vol

Polymarket

All Outcomes

94%

$320

87%

$330

86%

$340

84%

$350

82%

$360

78%

$370

76%

$380

71%

$400

68%

$390

66%

$440

55%

$410

50%

$430

49%

$420

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89% $435

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in July 2026?

Exp Jul 31 $3.5K vol

Polymarket

All Outcomes

89%

$435

69%

$450

48%

$465

27%

$360

19%

$345

14%

$330

11%

$315

$300

$285

$270

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Recent Resolutions

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in July 2026?

Jul 31, 2026

$420 $405 $390 $375

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of June 29 2026?

Jul 3, 2026

$397.50 $382.50 $390

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in June 2026?

Jun 30, 2026

$420 $405

Yes

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $420 in June?

Jun 30, 2026

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of June?

Jun 30, 2026

$380 $390 $400 $410 $420 $430 $440 $450 $460 $470 $480 $490 $500

Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on June 30?

Jun 30, 2026

$360 $370 $380 $400 $390

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 30?

Jun 30, 2026

Up Down

Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on June 29?

Jun 29, 2026

$360 $370 $380 $390 $400

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 29?

Jun 29, 2026

Up Down

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of June 22 2026?

Jun 26, 2026

$412.50 $405 $397.50

TSLA Fundamentals

Current Price $426.51

P/E Ratio 385.9

Analyst Target $421.16

Analyst Ratings

Buy: 23 Hold: 17 Sell: 7

247 Factor Prediction

Conviction 51/100

Neutral

Target Price $350.83

Upside/Downside -17.7%

Confidence High

View Full Price Prediction →

Insider Activity

Recent Transactions 30

Net Direction Net Selling

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Tesla Prediction Markets

Polymarket Overview

Recent Resolutions

TSLA Fundamentals

247 Factor Prediction

Insider Activity