Companies /Technology

Alarm.com Holdings Inc

NASDAQ: ALRM Software - Application
$64.14
▲ $1.65 (+2.64%) today
Markets closed · 4:37pm ET
24/7 Rating BUY
Our 12-month price target
$76.06
+21.7% upside by Oct 2027
Price when calculated $62.49 Oct 23, 2026
Street consensus $63.00
Ours vs. the Street +20.7% Our target vs. consensus

Set by 24/7 Wall St.’s proprietary analysis of professional targets, profit trajectory, sector, risk, and retail attention. Recalculated at least weekly and after every earnings report.

How we calculate it →
12-Month Projection Historical Optimistic Target Conservative
$40$60$80Oct 2025Oct 2027Oct 23$85.43$76.06$60.57
$40$60$80Oct 2025Oct 2027Oct 23$85.43$76.06$60.57

The 24/7 Factor

Base Growth
Conservative growth baseline (reduced to avoid double-counting P/E growth)
1.05×
Sector Momentum
High-growth sector with strong innovation tailwinds
1.15×
Earnings Growth
Significant earnings decline
−2.3%
Volatility Adjustment
Lower volatility stock
+0.5%
Price Position
Trading near 52-week high
+1.5%
Read our full methodology →
The Bottom Line

Alarm.com appears attractively valued at current levels. With a 21.7% upside to our $76.06 target, the risk-reward profile looks favorable for investors with a 12-month time horizon.

5-Year Projection

Long-Term Forecast Optimistic Target Conservative
$60$80$100$120’26’27’28’29’30’31$131.22$113.05$67.44
$60$80$100$120’26’27’28’29’30’31$131.22$113.05$67.44

Prediction History

ALRM Price Target History Our Target Stock Price
$60$80Jul 31Oct 16$71.68$57.37
$60$80Jul 31Oct 16$71.68$57.37
$60$80May 28Oct 16$71.68$57.37
$60$80May 28Oct 16$71.68$57.37
Date Price Target Stock Price Rating Upside
$71.68 $57.37 BUY +25.0%
$70.21 $55.65 BUY +26.2%
$69.38 $54.68 BUY +26.9%
$69.41 $53.38 BUY +30.0%
$88.95 $53.96 BUY +64.8%
$89.29 $55.36 BUY +61.3%
$89.56 $56.48 BUY +58.6%
$89.80 $57.47 BUY +56.3%
Date Price Target Stock Price Rating Upside
$71.68 $57.37 BUY +25.0%
$69.41 $53.38 BUY +30.0%
$89.80 $57.47 BUY +56.3%
$85.63 $55.69 BUY +53.8%
$82.35 $44.07 BUY +86.9%
$84.89 $45.10 BUY +88.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the ALRM stock price prediction for 2030?

Looking ahead to 2030, our model projects ALRM could trade at an average price of $100.41, with a potential range between $75.31 and $125.51. This represents a potential 60.7% return from today’s price. Long-term forecasts depend heavily on company execution, competitive dynamics, and broader market conditions.

Is ALRM a buy, sell, or hold right now?

24/7 Wall St. currently rates ALRM as a BUY. Strong upside (+21.7%)

What is the ALRM stock price target in an optimistic scenario?

In our optimistic scenario for ALRM, the stock could reach $85.43 over the next 12 months, representing a 36.7% gain from today’s price. This scenario assumes favorable conditions materialize, including strong earnings growth, positive market sentiment, and successful execution of company initiatives.

What is the downside risk for ALRM stock?

Our conservative scenario for ALRM projects a price of $60.57 over the next 12 months (-3.1% from current levels), suggesting relatively limited downside if headwinds materialize. No forecast is a guarantee. Position sizing and time horizon still matter.

Projections are estimates based on current data, updated daily. Not investment advice. Learn how we calculate these projections →