Carnival Corp (Paired Stock)
Q1 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: −5.06%.
Did CCL Beat Earnings? Q1 2025 Results
Carnival Corporation delivered a strong first-quarter beat to open 2025, posting adjusted diluted EPS of $0.13 against a consensus estimate of $0.02, a 485.59% beat, while revenue of $5.81 billion edged past the $5.74 billion Wall Street expected by 1.16%. The clearest engine behind the quarter was a surge in net yields that exceeded the company's own December guidance by 270 basis points, fueled by robust close-in demand and solid onboard spending, lifting adjusted EBITDA 38% year-over-year to $1.21 billion and nearly doubling operating income to $543 million. On a GAAP basis, Carnival recorded a net loss of $78 million, a meaningful improvement from a $214 million loss a year ago, though results were weighed down by $252 million in one-time debt refinancing costs that ultimately locked in $145 million in annualized interest savings. Strong wave-season pricing and record customer deposits of $7.26 billion also underpinned management's decision to raise full-year 2025 adjusted net income guidance by roughly $185 million versus its prior outlook, with adjusted EBITDA now expected near $6.70 billion.
- Exceptionally strong close-in demand exceeding expectations for both ticket prices and onboard spending
- Net yields (constant currency) 7.3% higher than 2024, outperforming December guidance by 270 basis points
- Gross margin yields 25% higher than 2024
- Cruise costs per ALBD decreased 0.3% compared to 2024
- Lower fuel cost per metric ton consumed ($643 vs $686 in prior year)
- Improved fuel efficiency with consumption per thousand ALBDs declining from 31.8 to 30.3
- Occupancy at 103%, up from 102% in prior year
“Our first quarter was truly characterized by outperformance. This was across the board and led by incredibly strong demand throughout our portfolio including exceptional close-in demand that exceeded expectations for both ticket prices and onboard spending.”
Carnival CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
For full year 2025, Carnival expects net yields (constant currency) approximately 4.7% higher than 2024, 0.5 percentage points better than December guidance. Adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (constant currency) are expected up approximately 3.8% versus 2024, in line with December guidance. Adjusted net income is expected up over 30% versus 2024 and $185 million better than December guidance. Adjusted EBITDA is expected at approximately $6.7 billion, up nearly 10% versus 2024. Adjusted ROIC of approximately 12% is now expected to reach the 2026 SEA Change target one year early. For Q2 2025, the company expects net yields (constant currency) up approximately 4.4% versus 2024, adjusted cruise costs excluding fuel per ALBD (constant currency) up approximately 5.5% due to higher dry-dock days, and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.3 billion, up 10% versus Q2 2024. The cumulative advanced booked position for the remainder of 2025 remains at historically high pricing in constant currency with occupancy in line with prior year record levels.
CCL YoY Financials
CCL Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.