CNX Resources Corp
Q3 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
Did CNX Beat Earnings? Q3 2025 Results
CNX Resources delivered a decisive beat in the third quarter of 2025, posting diluted EPS of $1.21 against a consensus estimate of $0.37, a 223.88% positive surprise, while revenue of $583.84 million topped expectations by 32.58% and surged 74.4% year over year. The primary engine behind the quarter's strength was a sharp expansion in natural gas production, with total output reaching 161.3 Bcfe compared to 134.5 Bcfe in Q3 2024, driving natural gas, NGL and oil revenue to $400.99 million from $259.46 million a year ago. GAAP net income climbed to $202.10 million from $65.54 million in the prior-year period, aided by a $131.69 million gain on commodity derivative instruments. Despite some softness in sequential pricing, with average natural gas sales prices slipping to $2.43 per Mcfe, the company raised its full-year free cash flow guidance to approximately $640 million and nudged production volume guidance higher to 620-625 Bcfe, even as analysts maintain cautious ratings with price targets near $32.
- Total production volumes increased to 161.3 Bcfe from 134.5 Bcfe year-over-year
- Shale gas volumes grew to 139.2 Bcf from 110.8 Bcf in Q3 2024
- Capital expenditures declined to $75.5 million from $114.7 million year-over-year
- Gain on commodity derivative instruments of $131.7 million
- Gain on asset sales and abandonments of $67.5 million
- Operating margin improved to 42% from 29% in Q3 2024
- Cash operating margin of 62% versus 58% in Q3 2024
Forward Guidance & Outlook
CNX updated its full-year 2025 guidance: production volumes raised to 620-625 Bcfe (from 615-620 Bcfe); NYMEX natural gas price assumption lowered to $3.33/MMBtu (from $3.59); natural gas differential of ($0.62)/MMBtu (from ($0.67)); Adjusted EBITDAX of $1,200-$1,225 million (from $1,225-$1,275 million); total capital expenditures of $475-$500 million (from $450-$500 million); free cash flow raised to approximately $640 million (from approximately $575 million), partly due to increased expected asset sales of approximately $115 million (from approximately $50 million); FCF per share of approximately $4.75 based on 134.8 million shares outstanding. The company plans 34 total TILs for 2025 across SWPA Central Marcellus (13), CPA Marcellus (13), and CPA Utica (8). Approximately 84% of natural gas volumes are hedged for 2025.
CNX YoY Financials
CNX Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.