CNX Resources Corp
Q4 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: −1.98%.
Did CNX Beat Earnings? Q4 2025 Results
CNX Resources delivered a standout fourth quarter, with earnings per share of $1.28 beating the $0.39 consensus by 231.86% and revenue of $610.48 million clearing estimates by 41.75% as the Appalachian natural gas producer rode a sharp rebound in commodity prices and higher production volumes. Revenue surged 86.6% year-over-year, while the company swung to GAAP net income of $196.25 million from a net loss of $144.62 million in the year-ago quarter, a turnaround driven in large part by $130 million in unrealized derivative gains and a meaningful improvement in realized natural gas prices, which climbed to $3.12 per Mcf from $2.41 a year earlier. Full-year free cash flow nearly doubled to $646 million, and the company repurchased $523.56 million of its own stock across 2025. Looking ahead, CNX guided 2026 production of 605 to 620 Bcfe with adjusted EBITDAX of $1.31 to $1.36 billion and free cash flow of approximately $550 million, while noting it has already hedged 81% of next year's natural gas output at a weighted average price of $2.75 per Mcf.
- Higher natural gas prices in Q4 2025 ($3.12/Mcf vs $2.41/Mcf in Q4 2024)
- Increased total production volumes to 152.3 Bcfe from 141.9 Bcfe year-over-year
- Shale sales volumes grew to 130.5 Bcf from 115.6 Bcf year-over-year
- Unrealized gain on commodity derivative instruments of $130 million in Q4 2025 vs $304 million unrealized loss in Q4 2024
- Full-year free cash flow of $646 million, nearly double the $331 million in FY 2024
- Adjusted EBITDAX of $292 million in Q4 vs $280 million in Q4 2024
Forward Guidance & Outlook
For 2026, CNX guides production volumes of 605-620 Bcfe with approximately 7-8% liquids mix and 81% of natural gas hedged. Based on forward market prices (NYMEX $4.07/MMBtu, differential of -$0.56/MMBtu), the company expects adjusted EBITDAX of $1,310-$1,360 million, total capital expenditures of $556-$586 million (D&C of $390-$410 million plus non-D&C of $150-$160 million and $16 million for Utica Shale rights), free cash flow of approximately $550 million (~$3.55/share), and an environmental attributes sales FCF impact of approximately $70 million. The 2026 activity plan includes 30 TILs (24 SWPA Marcellus, 3 CPA Marcellus, 3 CPA Utica). Forecasted hedging losses for CY2026 are approximately $410 million based on current positions versus forward strip.
CNX YoY Financials
CNX Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.