Companies /Real Estate

Forestar Group Inc New

NYSE: FOR Real Estate - Development
$26.93
▼ $0.15 (−0.55%) today
Markets closed · 5:22pm ET

Q3 2025 Earnings

Reported Jul 22, 2025, 12:11pm ET · SEC source
$0.65
Miss −14.17%
EPS · est. $0.76
$390.5M
Miss −0.38%
Revenue · est. $392.0M
+11.9%
Beating market
FOR vs S&P since report
3 quarters
Consecutive EPS misses

Market Reaction

% change · around the report
0+5%+10%Jul 22Jul 23report 12:11pm ETearnings+1.0%+10.3%
0+5%+10%Jul 22Jul 23earnings+1.0%+10.3%
FOR +10.3%S&P 500 +1.0%
0+5%+10%Jul 22Jul 23report 12:11pm ETearnings+0.5%+10.3%
0+5%+10%Jul 22Jul 23earnings+0.5%+10.3%
FOR +10.3%NASDAQ +0.5%
−5%0+5%+10%Jul 21Jul 30report 12:11pm ETearnings+1.4%+10.3%
−5%0+5%+10%Jul 21Jul 30earnings+1.4%+10.3%
FOR +10.3%S&P 500 +1.4%
−5%0+5%+10%Jul 21Jul 30report 12:11pm ETearnings+1.6%+10.3%
−5%0+5%+10%Jul 21Jul 30earnings+1.6%+10.3%
FOR +10.3%NASDAQ +1.6%
+8.20%
Day of report
+7.66%
Next session
+5.32%
One week
+12.98%
30 days

S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +1.06%.

Did FOR Beat Earnings? Q3 2025 Results

Forestar Group delivered a mixed fiscal third quarter, missing Wall Street expectations on both the top and bottom lines as rising costs weighed heavily on profitability despite robust revenue growth. The residential lot developer posted earnings of $0.65 per diluted share on revenues of $390.50 million for the period ended June 30, 2025, falling short of the consensus EPS estimate of $0.76 by 14.17% and nudging just below the $392.00 million revenue target by 0.38%, even as sales climbed 22.6% year over year. The core problem was margin compression: cost of sales surged to $310.80 million from $246.90 million in the prior-year period, while SG&A expenses rose to $37.40 million, pushing net income down 15% to $32.90 million. Notably, the prior-year quarter also included a $5.00 million asset-sale gain that did not repeat. Despite the earnings shortfall, shares rose in pre-market trading as investors focused on Forestar's $2.30 billion contracted lot pipeline and maintained revenue guidance of $1.50 billion to $1.55 billion for fiscal 2025, even as the company trimmed its lot delivery outlook to 14,500 to 15,000 units, citing affordability pressures and softer consumer confidence.

Key Takeaways
  • 11% increase in residential lots sold to 3,605 lots
  • Average sales price per lot increased to $106,600 from $94,000 year-over-year
  • 23% revenue growth driven by higher lot volumes and pricing
  • Lots sold to customers other than D.R. Horton increased to 530 from 352 in prior year quarter

“The Forestar team delivered increased lot deliveries and revenues compared to the prior year quarter and maintained strong liquidity through disciplined investment in inventory despite affordability constraints and weaker consumer confidence continuing to impact the pace of new home sales.”

Forestar Group CEO, on the earnings call

Forward Guidance & Outlook

Forestar lowered its fiscal 2025 lot delivery guidance to 14,500–15,000 lots, down from prior guidance of 15,000–15,500 lots, citing year-to-date results and current market conditions including affordability constraints and weaker consumer confidence. The company maintained its revenue guidance of $1.50 billion to $1.55 billion. Management expects to continue aggregating significant market share, supported by its operating platform, strategic relationship with D.R. Horton, and $2.3 billion of contracted future revenue.

FOR YoY Financials

Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024 · SEC filings Q3 2024 Q3 2025
$0$200.0M$400.0M$318.4M$390.5MRevenue$72.2M$79.7MGross Profit$42.9M$42.3MOperating Income$38.7M$32.9MNet Income
$0$200.0M$400.0MRevenueGross ProfitOperating IncomeNet Income

FOR Revenue by Segment

Residential Lot Sales - Development Projects$373.4M
Development Projects
Tract Sales and Other$7.5M
Residential Lot Sales - Lot Banking Projects$10.9M
Lot Banking Projects

Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.