Companies /Real Estate

Forestar Group Inc New

NYSE: FOR Real Estate - Development
$26.91
▼ $0.17 (−0.63%) today
Markets closed · 7:00pm ET

Q1 2026 Earnings

Reported Jan 20, 2026, 2:59pm ET · SEC source
$0.30
Miss −0.33%
EPS · est. $0.30
$273.0M
Beat +2.83%
Revenue · est. $265.5M
+13.2%
Beating market
FOR vs S&P since report
3 quarters
Consecutive EPS misses

Market Reaction

% change · around the report
−4%−2%0Jan 20Jan 21report 2:59pm ETearnings+1.1%−1.9%
−4%−2%0Jan 20Jan 21earnings+1.1%−1.9%
FOR −1.9%S&P 500 +1.1%
−4%−2%0+2%Jan 20Jan 21report 2:59pm ETearnings+1.3%−1.9%
−4%−2%0+2%Jan 20Jan 21earnings+1.3%−1.9%
FOR −1.9%NASDAQ +1.3%
−6%−3%0+3%Jan 20Jan 28report 2:59pm ETearnings+2.6%−3.6%
−6%−3%0+3%Jan 20Jan 28earnings+2.6%−3.6%
FOR −3.6%S&P 500 +2.6%
−4%0+4%Jan 20Jan 28report 2:59pm ETearnings+4.0%−3.6%
−4%0+4%Jan 20Jan 28earnings+4.0%−3.6%
FOR −3.6%NASDAQ +4.0%
−5.04%
Day of report
−1.23%
Next session
−3.77%
One week
+14.95%
30 days

S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +1.75%.

Did FOR Beat Earnings? Q1 2026 Results

Forestar Group delivered a mixed fiscal first quarter for 2026, posting revenue that cleared Wall Street's bar while earnings fell just short, sending shares lower in the session that followed. The residential lot developer reported Q1 revenue of $273.00 million, up 9% year-over-year and ahead of the $265.48 million consensus estimate, yet diluted EPS of $0.30 missed the $0.30 forecast by 0.33% and declined from $0.32 in the year-ago period. The central tension in the quarter was a trade-off between price and volume: average lot sales prices climbed to $121,000 from $105,500 a year ago, but lots sold fell 17% to 1,944, compressing net income by 7% to $15.40 million. A surge in tract sales to $37.80 million from just $3.00 million provided meaningful revenue support, partially cushioning the volume shortfall. Despite affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment cited by Chairman Donald Tomnitz, Forestar reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance of 14,000 to 15,000 lot deliveries and $1.60 billion to $1.70 billion in revenue, backed by $2.20 billion in contracted future revenue.

Key Takeaways
  • Average sales price per lot increased to $121,000 from $105,500 year-over-year
  • Tract sales and other revenue surged to $37.8 million from $3.0 million in the prior year quarter
  • Lots sold decreased 17% to 1,944 from 2,333 due to affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment
  • Sales to customers other than D.R. Horton grew to 317 lots from 221 lots

“The Forestar team delivered increased revenues compared to the prior year quarter and maintained strong liquidity through disciplined inventory investment amid ongoing affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment that continue to impact the pace of new home sales. We are focused on maximizing returns in each of our projects by aligning the pace and price of lot sales with the timing of our investments to meet demand. In fiscal 2026, we still expect to deliver between 14,000 and 15,000 lots, generating $1.6 billion to $1.7 billion of revenue.”

Forestar Group CEO, on the earnings call

Forward Guidance & Outlook

For fiscal 2026, Forestar expects to deliver between 14,000 and 15,000 lots, generating $1.6 billion to $1.7 billion of revenue. Management expects to continue aggregating market share supported by financial strength, a substantial operating platform, the strategic relationship with D.R. Horton, and $2.2 billion of contracted future revenue. The company plans to maintain a disciplined approach to capital allocation while positioning for growth.

FOR YoY Financials

Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025 · SEC filings Q1 2025 Q1 2026
$0$80.0M$160.0M$240.0M$250.4M$273.0MRevenue$55.0M$55.0MGross Profit$19.0M$18.5MOperating Income$16.5M$15.4MNet Income
$0$80.0M$160.0M$240.0MRevenueGross ProfitOperating IncomeNet Income

FOR Revenue by Segment

Residential Lot Sales - Development Projects$231.1M
Development Projects
Tract Sales and Other$37.8M
Residential Lot Sales - Lot Banking Projects$4.1M
Lot Banking Projects

Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.