Q3 25 EPS
$0.21
BEAT +11.46%
Est. $0.19
Q3 25 Revenue
$1.17B
MISS 0.94%
Est. $1.18B
vs S&P Since Q3 25
-30.9%
TRAILING MARKET
GO -20.0% vs S&P +10.9%
Market Reaction
Did GO Beat Earnings? Q3 2025 Results
Grocery Outlet delivered a mixed third-quarter fiscal 2025 report, posting adjusted diluted EPS of $0.21 against a consensus estimate of $0.19, a beat of 11.46%, while revenue of $1.17 billion grew 5.4% year over year but fell just short of the $1.18… Read more Grocery Outlet delivered a mixed third-quarter fiscal 2025 report, posting adjusted diluted EPS of $0.21 against a consensus estimate of $0.19, a beat of 11.46%, while revenue of $1.17 billion grew 5.4% year over year but fell just short of the $1.18 billion analysts had expected. The profitability story was more complicated beneath the surface, with gross margin contracting to 30.4% from 31.1% a year earlier as promotional activity and markdowns on seasonal inventory weighed heavily on results, helping cut GAAP net income to $11.61 million from $24.18 million in the prior-year period. Comparable store sales rose a modest 1.2%, with shoppers visiting more frequently but spending less per trip, a pattern that pressured the top line throughout the quarter. Looking ahead, management narrowed its full-year net sales guidance to $4.70 to $4.72 billion and trimmed its comparable store sales growth outlook to 0.6% to 0.9%, while pointing to a broad rollout of its store refresh program in Q4 as a catalyst to accelerate same-store sales momentum into 2026.
Key Takeaways
- • Net sales growth of 5.4% driven by new store openings and 1.2% comparable store sales increase
- • Comparable store sales driven by 1.8% increase in transactions, partially offset by 0.6% decrease in average transaction size
- • Gross margin decline of 70 basis points year-over-year to 30.4% due to promotional activities and seasonal inventory markdowns
- • SG&A increased 8.7% year-over-year driven by new store growth costs
- • Adjusted EBITDA declined to $66.7 million from $72.3 million in prior year quarter
GO YoY Financials
Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024, source: SEC Filings
“In the third quarter, we made progress on our key initiatives while delivering strong bottom-line results. In addition, we launched our store refresh program at an initial group of pilot stores.”
— Jason Potter, Q3 2025 Earnings Press Release
GO Earnings Trends
GO vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
GO EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
GO Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
GO Quarterly Results
5 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 26 BEAT | $0.02 | $0.05 | +120.26% | $1.17B | +1.38% |
| Q4 25 MISS FY | $0.21 | $0.19 | -8.92% | $1.22B | -1.07% |
| FY Full Year | $0.78 | $0.76 | -2.93% | $4.69B | -0.17% |
| Q3 25 BEAT | $0.19 | $0.21 | +11.46% | $1.17B | -0.94% |
| Q2 25 BEAT | $0.17 | $0.23 | +32.87% | $1.18B | -0.66% |
| Q1 25 BEAT | $0.07 | $0.13 | +82.84% | $1.13B | +0.11% |