Companies /Consumer Cyclical

Meritage Homes Corp

NYSE: MTH Residential Construction
$67.37
▼ $0.11 (−0.16%) today
Markets closed · 9:17am ET
24/7 Rating BUY
12-Month Price Target
$84.60 +25.6% upside

Set by 24/7 Wall St.’s proprietary analysis of professional targets, profit trajectory, sector, risk, and retail attention. How we calculate our price targets →

Current close $67.37
Street consensus $82.38
Ours vs. the Street +2.7%
$74.79Conservative$67.37Current$84.60Our Target$89.78Optimistic
12-Month Projection Historical Optimistic Target Conservative
$63$72$81$90Sep 2025Sep 2027Today$89.78$84.60$74.79
$63$72$81$90Sep 2025Sep 2027Today$89.78$84.60$74.79

Analyst Sentiment

9ANALYSTS
Buy556%
Hold444%
Sell00%
The Bottom Line

Meritage Homes appears attractively valued at current levels. With a 25.6% upside to our $84.60 target, the risk-reward profile looks favorable for investors with a 12-month time horizon. Wall Street agrees, with 56% of analysts rating it a Buy.

The 24/7 Factor

Base Growth
Conservative growth baseline (reduced to avoid double-counting P/E growth)
1.05×
Sector Momentum
Economic cycle dependent, moderate growth
1.05×
Analyst Consensus
Moderate analyst optimism
+3.4%
Earnings Growth
Significant earnings decline
−3.0%
Volatility Adjustment
Higher volatility stock
−0.7%
Price Position
Upper range of 52-week trading
+0.5%
Read our full methodology →

5-Year Projection

Long-Term Forecast Optimistic Target Conservative
$80$100$120’26’27’28’29’30’31$134.15$131.49$93.38
$80$100$120’26’27’28’29’30’31$134.15$131.49$93.38

Prediction History

MTH Price Target History Our Target Stock Price
$72$78$84$90Jul 16Aug 28$85.42$71.06
$72$78$84$90Jul 16Aug 28$85.42$71.06
Date Price Target Stock Price Rating Upside
$85.42 $71.06 BUY +20.2%
$85.55 $71.68 BUY +19.4%
$85.86 $73.08 BUY +17.5%
$86.22 $74.71 BUY +15.4%
$84.98 $70.20 BUY +21.1%
$90.61 $71.96 BUY +25.9%
$91.32 $75.19 BUY +21.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the MTH stock price prediction for 2030?

Looking ahead to 2030, our model projects MTH could trade at an average price of $115.03, with a potential range between $86.27 and $143.79. This represents a potential 70.7% return from today’s price. Long-term forecasts depend heavily on company execution, competitive dynamics, and broader market conditions.

Is MTH a buy, sell, or hold right now?

24/7 Wall St. currently rates MTH as a BUY. Strong upside (+25.6%) Among Wall Street analysts, 5 rate it Buy, 4 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell.

What is the MTH stock price target in an optimistic scenario?

In our optimistic scenario for MTH, the stock could reach $89.78 over the next 12 months, representing a 33.3% gain from today’s price. This scenario assumes favorable conditions materialize, including strong earnings growth, positive market sentiment, and successful execution of company initiatives.

What is the downside risk for MTH stock?

Our conservative scenario for MTH projects a price of $74.79 over the next 12 months (11.0% from current levels), suggesting relatively limited downside if headwinds materialize. No forecast is a guarantee. Position sizing and time horizon still matter.

Projections are estimates based on current data, updated daily. Not investment advice. Learn how we calculate these projections →