Q3 25 EPS
$0.53
BEAT +278.57%
Est. $0.14
Q3 25 Revenue
$26.9M
BEAT +6.27%
Est. $25.3M
vs S&P Since Q3 25
-10.6%
TRAILING MARKET
ORC -2.3% vs S&P +8.3%
Market Reaction
Did ORC Beat Earnings? Q3 2025 Results
Orchid Island Capital delivered a blowout third quarter, posting GAAP earnings of $0.53 per share against a consensus estimate of just $0.14, a 278.57% beat, while revenue climbed to $26.92 million, up 24.7% year over year and 6.27% ahead of the $25.… Read more Orchid Island Capital delivered a blowout third quarter, posting GAAP earnings of $0.53 per share against a consensus estimate of just $0.14, a 278.57% beat, while revenue climbed to $26.92 million, up 24.7% year over year and 6.27% ahead of the $25.33 million estimate. The driving force behind the outsized result was a combination of portfolio expansion and mark-to-market gains, with net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivatives totaling $50.60 million as the agency pass-through market benefited from broadly stable rates and Federal Reserve easing expectations. The average interest rate spread widened dramatically to 1.20% from a negative (0.19)% in the year-ago quarter, and the total RMBS portfolio surged to $8.36 billion from $6.99 billion at the end of June, fueled by $420.17 million in equity issuances. Book value per share edged up to $7.33, delivering a 6.7% total return for the quarter when factoring in dividends, making ORC a compelling name among high-yielding monthly income investments. CEO Robert Cauley signaled room to increase leverage further if market conditions become more favorable.
Key Takeaways
- • Supportive market conditions for leveraged Agency RMBS investors with stable interest rates
- • Average yield on Agency RMBS increased to 5.65% from 5.38% in Q2 2025
- • Net realized and unrealized gains of $50.6 million on RMBS and derivative instruments
- • Significant portfolio growth through $1.5 billion in securities purchases during the quarter
- • Average interest rate spread widened to 1.20% from negative spread in prior year
- • Average economic interest rate spread of 2.40%
- • Combined portfolio return on invested capital of 9.8% for the quarter
ORC YoY Financials
Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024, source: SEC Filings
ORC Revenue by Segment
Business unit performance breakdown
“Market conditions during the quarter were supportive for levered Agency RMBS investors such as Orchid Island Capital. Interest rates were quite stable outside of short-term rates, which declined in anticipation of additional interest rate cuts beyond the 25-basis point cut that occurred in September. Orchid generated a total return for the quarter of 6.7%, unannualized.”
— Robert E. Cauley, Q3 2025 Earnings Press Release
ORC Earnings Trends
ORC vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
ORC EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
ORC Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
ORC Quarterly Results
5 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 26 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 25 BEAT FY | $0.19 | $0.62 | +235.14% | $132.2M | +269.88% |
| FY Full Year | $0.69 | $1.24 | +81.02% | $414.0M | +292.31% |
| Q3 25 BEAT | $0.14 | $0.53 | +278.57% | $26.9M | +6.27% |
| Q2 25 MISS | $0.12 | $-0.29 | -348.50% | $23.2M | -0.43% |
| Q1 25 BEAT | $0.17 | $0.18 | +5.88% | $21.3M | +78.57% |