Republic Services Inc
Q2 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +1.67%.
Did RSG Beat Earnings? Q2 2025 Results
Republic Services posted a strong second quarter, reporting earnings of $1.77 per share on revenue of $4.24 billion as the waste and environmental services giant demonstrated that disciplined pricing continues to translate directly into margin expansion. The clearest driver of the quarter was pricing power: core price on related business revenue climbed 7.0%, enabling adjusted EBITDA margin to widen 100 basis points year-over-year to 32.1% even as recycled commodity prices weighed on results, with the average price per ton sold at recycling centers falling $24.00 to $149. Landfill net revenue was a notable bright spot, growing 12.2% year-over-year to $516.00 million, while year-to-date adjusted free cash flow reached $1.42 billion. Looking ahead, management raised its full-year adjusted free cash flow guidance to a range of $2.38 billion to $2.42 billion, though the updated outlook incorporates an estimated $25.00 million to $50.00 million headwind from labor disruptions that emerged in certain markets in July 2025. The company also lifted its quarterly dividend roughly 8% to $0.63 per share, underscoring confidence in the durability of its cash generation.
- Core price on total revenue increased revenue by 5.7%
- Core price on related business revenue increased revenue by 7.0% (8.6% open market, 4.6% restricted)
- Average yield on total revenue of 4.1%
- Volume increased revenue by 0.2%
- Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 100 basis points year-over-year to 32.1%
- Cost of operations improved to 57.9% of revenue from 58.8%
- Landfill net revenue grew 12.2% year-over-year
- Construction and demolition waste volume surged 47.3%
- Acquisitions contributed 1.5% to total revenue growth
“We are pleased with our second quarter results which demonstrate the resilience of our business model and the benefit of the investments in our differentiated capabilities. We produced double-digit growth in EBITDA and 100 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion by continuing to price ahead of cost inflation and consistently executing our operational plan.”
Republic Services CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
Republic Services updated its full-year 2025 guidance: revenue is now expected in the range of $16.675 billion to $16.750 billion. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was reiterated at $5.275 billion to $5.325 billion. Adjusted diluted EPS guidance was reiterated at $6.82 to $6.90. Adjusted free cash flow guidance was increased to $2.375 billion to $2.415 billion. Guidance incorporates an estimated $25 million to $50 million impact from labor disruptions that began in July 2025 in certain isolated markets. Guidance is based on current economic conditions and does not assume significant changes in the overall economy for the remainder of 2025.
RSG YoY Financials
RSG Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.