Republic Services Inc
Q3 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +0.27%.
Did RSG Beat Earnings? Q3 2025 Results
Republic Services delivered a stronger-than-expected earnings performance in Q3 2025, with adjusted EPS of $1.90 clearing the $1.78 consensus estimate by 6.48%, even as revenue of $4.21 billion came in just shy of the $4.25 billion Wall Street had anticipated — a 0.91% miss despite growing 3.3% year-over-year. The defining storyline of the quarter was the company's ability to protect profitability through pricing discipline — core price on related business revenue rose 7.2% — even as $56 million in labor disruption costs from isolated work stoppages weighed heavily on reported results, pushing reported EPS down to $1.76 from $1.80 a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 80 basis points to 32.8%, underscoring that the underlying business continues to price ahead of cost inflation. Volume headwinds persisted, with large-container collection volumes declining 3.9% and total volumes slipping 0.3%. Looking ahead, management guided revenue toward the low end of its full-year 2025 range while reiterating all other financial targets, signaling confidence in margins and cash flow even as top-line momentum remains measured. RBC Capital maintained its Buy rating with a $265 price target following the report.
- Core price on total revenue increased revenue by 5.9%
- Core price on related business revenue of 7.2% (8.6% open market, 4.8% restricted)
- Average yield on total revenue of 4.0%
- Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 80 basis points year-over-year to 32.8%
- Pricing ahead of cost inflation
- Acquisition growth contributed 1.6% to revenue
“We delivered strong third-quarter results as we continue to execute our strategy for sustainable, profitable growth. Despite ongoing cyclical volume pressures, our ability to price ahead of cost inflation and disciplined operational execution drove an 80-basis-point expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin. These results underscore the resiliency of our business model and the value from continued investments in our differentiated capabilities.”
Republic Services CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
The company expects revenue to be near the low end of its full-year 2025 guidance range. Republic reiterates all other financial components of its 2025 guidance, including margin and cash flow targets.
RSG YoY Financials
RSG Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.