Shell Plc ADR (Representing - )
Q3 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +0.25%.
Did SHEL Beat Earnings? Q3 2025 Results
Shell delivered a disappointing third quarter, missing analyst expectations on both the top and bottom lines as a weaker commodity environment weighed on results. The energy giant posted earnings per share of $0.93, falling well short of the $1.74 consensus estimate by 46.46%, while revenue came in at $68.15 billion, trailing forecasts by 4.60% and slipping 4.1% from a year earlier. The most material driver of the earnings shortfall relative to expectations was the year-over-year decline in Adjusted Earnings, which fell from $6.03 billion in Q3 2024 despite a strong sequential rebound, with Adjusted EBITDA rising 11% quarter-over-quarter to $14.77 billion. A Ukrainian drone strike that forced Shell and its Karachaganak consortium partners to cut production in Kazakhstan by an estimated 25-30% added an unwelcome operational headwind. Looking ahead, Shell guided Q4 2025 upstream production of 1,770-1,970 thousand boe/d and LNG liquefaction volumes of 7.4-8.0 million tonnes, with full-year capital expenditure expected within $20-$22 billion.
- Higher trading and optimisation margins across segments
- Higher sales volumes due to lower maintenance across the portfolio
- Favourable tax movements
- LNG liquefaction volumes increased 8% QoQ due to lower maintenance and LNG Canada ramp-up
- Refinery utilisation improved to 96% from 94% in Q2
- Higher Products margins driven by trading and optimisation and refining margins
- Seasonal uplift in Marketing Mobility margins
Forward Guidance & Outlook
For Q4 2025, Shell expects full-year 2025 cash capital expenditure within $20-$22 billion. Integrated Gas production is expected at approximately 920-980 thousand boe/d with LNG liquefaction volumes of approximately 7.4-8.0 million tonnes. Upstream production is expected at approximately 1,770-1,970 thousand boe/d. Marketing sales volumes are expected at approximately 2,500-3,000 thousand b/d. Refinery utilisation is expected at approximately 87-95%, and chemicals manufacturing plant utilisation at approximately 71-79%. Corporate Adjusted Earnings are expected to be a net expense of approximately $600-$800 million in Q4 2025.
SHEL YoY Financials
SHEL Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.