TotalEnergies SE
Q2 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
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Did TTE Beat Earnings? Q2 2025 Results
TotalEnergies delivered a mixed second quarter for 2025, posting earnings that fell short of Wall Street expectations even as revenue cleared estimates by a wide margin. The French energy giant reported adjusted EPS of $1.37, missing the $1.59 consensus by 14.05%, while revenue of $57.96 billion topped the $42.92 billion estimate by 35.05%, rising 0.9% year over year. The earnings shortfall traced directly to deteriorating commodity prices, with Brent crude sliding roughly 10% to $67.90 per barrel and LNG selling prices retreating to $9.10 per million BTU, compressing margins across Exploration and Production and Integrated LNG, the company's two largest profit contributors. Adjusted net income fell 15% sequentially to $3.58 billion as a result. Looking ahead, TotalEnergies guided Q3 LNG selling prices to $9.00 to $9.50 per million BTU and projected hydrocarbon production growth above 3% year over year, with full-year net investments expected to stay within the $17.00 to $17.50 billion guidance range as planned asset disposals unfold in the second half.
- Lower Brent oil prices ($67.9/b in Q2 vs $75.7/b in Q1) reduced E&P profitability
- Lower average LNG selling price ($9.10/Mbtu vs $10.00/Mbtu in Q1) and reduced gas trading volatility
- Production growth of 2.5% year-over-year from start-ups and ramp-ups (Mero-2/3/4, Fenix, Tyra, Anchor, Ballymore)
- Improved refining margins and utilization rates boosted Refining & Chemicals results
- Seasonal demand in European transport markets lifted Marketing & Services
- Net power production up 28% year-over-year driven by renewable growth and UK gas flexible capacity acquisitions
- Gross installed renewable capacity grew 26% year-over-year to 30.2 GW
Forward Guidance & Outlook
Oil markets remain volatile at $60-70/b amid abundant OPEC+ supply and weak demand from global economic slowdown. Refining and petrochemical margins face structural overcapacity, though summer driving season supports margins above $50/ton entering Q3 2025. European gas prices expected to remain around $12/Mbtu for Q3 2025 and winter 2025/26 due to stock replenishment. TotalEnergies anticipates average LNG selling price of $9-9.5/Mbtu for Q3 2025. Hydrocarbon production in Q3 2025 expected to increase over 3% year-over-year, in line with full-year growth target. Refinery utilization rates guided to 80-85% in Q3 given scheduled maintenance at Antwerp, Port Arthur and HTC. Full-year net investments expected within the $17-17.5 billion guidance range given planned disposals in H2.
TTE YoY Financials
TTE Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.