Companies /Basic Materials

Vale SA ADR

NYSE: VALE Other Industrial Metals & Mining
$12.00
▼ $0.40 (−3.23%) today
Markets closed · 12:54am ET
24/7 Rating SELL
Our 12-month price target
$9.66
−22.1% downside by Oct 2027
Price when calculated $12.40 Oct 26, 2026
Street consensus $16.22 25 analysts
Ours vs. the Street −40.4% Our target vs. consensus

Set by 24/7 Wall St.’s proprietary analysis of professional targets, profit trajectory, sector, risk, and retail attention. Recalculated at least weekly and after every earnings report.

How we calculate it →
12-Month Projection Historical Optimistic Target Conservative
$9$12$15$18Oct 2025Oct 2027Oct 26$13.47$9.66$9.04
$9$12$15$18Oct 2025Oct 2027Oct 26$13.47$9.66$9.04

Analyst Sentiment

25ANALYSTS
Buy1040%
Hold1456%
Sell14%
The Bottom Line

Vale faces potential headwinds at current valuations. Our analysis suggests 22.1% downside risk to our $9.66 target. Investors may want to consider reducing exposure or waiting for a better entry point.

The 24/7 Factor

Base Growth
Conservative growth baseline (reduced to avoid double-counting P/E growth)
1.05×
Sector Momentum
Commodity-linked, cyclical
1.02×
Analyst Consensus
Mixed analyst views
+2.2%
Earnings Growth
Significant earnings decline
−3.0%
Volatility Adjustment
Lower volatility stock
+0.6%
Price Position
Upper range of 52-week trading
+0.5%
Read our full methodology →

5-Year Projection

Long-Term Forecast Optimistic Target Conservative
$9$12$15’26’27’28’29’30’31$16.50$8.22$8.31
$9$12$15’26’27’28’29’30’31$16.50$8.22$8.31

Prediction History

VALE Price Target History Our Target Stock Price
$10$12$14Jul 31Oct 23$9.66$12.40
$10$12$14Jul 31Oct 23$9.66$12.40
Date Price Target Stock Price Rating Upside
$9.66 $12.40 SELL −22.1%
$9.92 $13.05 SELL −24.0%
$9.96 $13.64 SELL −27.0%
$10.09 $13.76 SELL −26.7%
$10.15 $13.62 SELL −25.5%
$10.86 $14.21 SELL −23.6%
$11.39 $15.23 SELL −25.2%
$11.25 $15.27 SELL −26.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the VALE stock price prediction for 2030?

Looking ahead to 2030, our model projects VALE could trade at an average price of $8.92, with a potential range between $6.69 and $11.16. This represents a potential 28.0% decline from today’s price. Long-term forecasts depend heavily on company execution, competitive dynamics, and broader market conditions.

Is VALE a buy, sell, or hold right now?

24/7 Wall St. currently rates VALE as a SELL. Significant downside (-22.1%) Among Wall Street analysts, 10 rate it Buy, 14 rate it Hold, and 1 rate it Sell.

What is the VALE stock price target in an optimistic scenario?

Our optimistic scenario for VALE projects a price of $13.47 over the next 12 months. This represents modest upside of 8.6% from today’s price, suggesting the stock may be fairly valued at current levels even under favorable conditions.

What is the downside risk for VALE stock?

In our conservative scenario, VALE could trade as low as $9.04 over the next 12 months, representing a 27.1% decline from current levels. This scenario accounts for potential headwinds including earnings misses, competitive pressures, or broader market weakness.

Projections are estimates based on current data, updated daily. Not investment advice. Learn how we calculate these projections →