Companies /Basic Materials

Vale SA ADR

NYSE: VALE Other Industrial Metals & Mining
$15.24
â–² $0.08 (+0.54%) today
Markets open · 12:58pm ET
24/7 Rating SELL
12-Month Price Target
$11.48 −24.7% downside

Set by 24/7 Wall St.’s proprietary analysis of professional targets, profit trajectory, sector, risk, and retail attention. How we calculate our price targets →

Current close $15.25
Street consensus $16.74
Ours vs. the Street −31.4%
$10.55Conservative$15.25Current$11.48Our Target$14.87Optimistic
12-Month Projection Historical Optimistic Target Conservative
$12$15Aug 2025Aug 2027Today$14.87$11.48$10.55
$12$15Aug 2025Aug 2027Today$14.87$11.48$10.55

Analyst Sentiment

25ANALYSTS
Buy1144%
Hold1456%
Sell00%
The Bottom Line

Vale faces potential headwinds at current valuations. Our analysis suggests 24.7% downside risk to our $11.48 target. Investors may want to consider reducing exposure or waiting for a better entry point.

The 24/7 Factor

Base Growth
Conservative growth baseline (reduced to avoid double-counting P/E growth)
1.05×
Sector Momentum
Commodity-linked, cyclical
1.02×
Analyst Consensus
Mixed analyst views
+2.6%
Earnings Growth
Significant earnings decline
−3.0%
Volatility Adjustment
Lower volatility stock
+0.5%
Price Position
Trading near 52-week high
+1.5%
Read our full methodology →

5-Year Projection

Long-Term Forecast Optimistic Target Conservative
$9$12$15’26’27’28’29’30’31$16.64$9.41$9.42
$9$12$15’26’27’28’29’30’31$16.64$9.41$9.42

Prediction History

VALE Price Target History Our Target Stock Price
$12$14Jul 16Aug 21$11.13$14.59
$12$14Jul 16Aug 21$11.13$14.59
Date Price Target Stock Price Rating Upside
$11.13 $14.59 SELL −23.7%
$11.13 $13.63 SELL −18.3%
$11.23 $14.71 SELL −23.6%
$11.89 $15.06 SELL −21.0%
$12.53 $14.79 SELL −15.3%
$12.54 $14.19 HOLD −11.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the VALE stock price prediction for 2030?

Looking ahead to 2030, our model projects VALE could trade at an average price of $10.36, with a potential range between $7.77 and $12.95. This represents a potential 32.0% decline from today’s price. Long-term forecasts depend heavily on company execution, competitive dynamics, and broader market conditions.

Is VALE a buy, sell, or hold right now?

24/7 Wall St. currently rates VALE as a SELL. Significant downside (-24.7%) Among Wall Street analysts, 11 rate it Buy, 14 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell.

What is the VALE stock price target in an optimistic scenario?

Our optimistic scenario for VALE projects a price of $14.87 over the next 12 months. Even under favorable conditions, this suggests limited upside from today’s price of $15.25, indicating the stock may currently be trading near or above fair value.

What is the downside risk for VALE stock?

In our conservative scenario, VALE could trade as low as $10.55 over the next 12 months, representing a 30.8% decline from current levels. This scenario accounts for potential headwinds including earnings misses, competitive pressures, or broader market weakness.

Projections are estimates based on current data, updated daily. Not investment advice. Learn how we calculate these projections →