Economists Expect 33.5% GDP Decline in Q2

By Douglas A. McIntyre Published Jun 8, 6:51AM EDT

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Economists Expect 33.5% GDP Decline in Q2 — © monsitj / Getty Images

The closely watched NABE Outlook Survey was just released. The new version is called “The June 2020 NABE Outlook.” Among the 44 panelists polled for the survey, the consensus is that second-quarter gross domestic product will drop at 33.5% annualized, quarter over quarter.

The group also said most of the risks of a change in the number are on the downside.

Outlook Survey Chair Eugenio Aleman, economist, Wells Fargo Bank, reported: “The NABE panel remains decidedly pessimistic about the second quarter of the year, as 80% of participants view risks to the outlook tilted to the downside.”

The NABE Outlook Survey is among the most pessimistic issued by any large group of experts on the economy. It included business executives and departments of the federal government.
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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.