Q1 GDP Fails to Impress or Surprise

The U.S. economy shrank by 5% during the first quarter, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Published June 25, 2020, 10:16am ET · 2 min read

A person, seen from behind, wears a brown baseball cap and a tan striped shirt while observing a large digital display. The screen shows a prominent red financial chart with a downward-sloping line against a black grid, indicating a market downturn.
An investor observes a significant market downturn on a red financial chart, reflecting the sentiment as UiPath stock tumbles sharply. © Kevin Frayer / Getty Images

The coronavirus pandemic ravaged the stock market when it first appeared back in February, and many suggested that it would be even worse for the global economy. These fears were well founded, as the U.S. economy shrank by 5% during the first quarter.

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 5.0% in the first quarter of 2020, according to the “third” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP increased 2.1%.

In the second estimate, the decrease in real GDP was also 5.0%. With the third estimate, an upward revision to nonresidential fixed investment was offset by downward revisions to private inventory investment, personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and exports.

Overall, the decrease in real GDP in the first quarter reflected negative contributions from PCE, private inventory investment, exports and nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by positive contributions from residential fixed investment, federal government spending and state and local government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased in this time.

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A few other highlights from the report included:

  • Real gross domestic income decreased 4.4% in the first quarter, in contrast to an increase of 3.1% in the fourth quarter.
  • Current‑dollar GDP decreased 3.4%, or $189.4 billion, in the first quarter to $21.54 trillion. In the fourth quarter, GDP increased 3.5%, or $186.6 billion.
  • The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 1.7% in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 1.4% in the fourth quarter.
  • The PCE price index increased 1.3%, compared with an increase of 1.4%.

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Chris Lange

Chris Lange is a financial and geopolitical writer with more than a decade of experience covering a myriad of topics. He has published thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St., with past coverage focused heavily on stocks, IPOs, healthcare, defense, global affairs, and technology.

His work has been quoted, or referenced by a number of outlets including Business Insider, USA Today, Yahoo Finance, MSN, The Motley Fool, and many other publications. A graduate of Southwestern University, he studied business with a focus on investments and has previous experience in banking and startups.

When not reading or writing the news, he is following his passion for Lacrosse, playing chess, or building solar projects with his dad.

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