Economy

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Goldman Sachs (GS) Moves Chances Of Recession To Almost 45%

The good news is that Goldman Sachs (GS) believes that  the "U.S. Federal Open Market Committee to cut interest rates to 3% by mid-2008, down from its earlier forecast of 4%," according to MarketWatch.…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 19 years ago

You Noticed Turkeyflation, Too? The Fed Conundrum

Well, the beloved inflation rates aren’t yet going through the roof if you trust the FOMC and the closely watched CPI.  The Fed gave a stable inflationary outlook for 2008, along with a slower…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 19 years ago

$200 Oil And 20% Foreclosure Rates

Oil is not at $200. It trades just below $100, and there are some reasons it could drop. The economies in the US and Europe are probably slowing, which should bring down demand. China…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 19 years ago

Consumers Seen Cutting Holiday Spending

According to Reuters "a survey conducted by the Consumer Federation of America (CFA) and the Credit Union National Association (CUNA) found that 35 percent of U.S. adults surveyed plan to spend less during the…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 19 years ago

GE (GE) Lobbies For Nuclear Power Aid

GE (GE) is telling the US government that nuclear power facilities are not going to be built fast enough to help the country with its energy crisis, unless the Fed put some incentives on…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 19 years ago

Is Abu Dhabi Driving Down The Dollar?

The $650 billion Abu Dhabi Investment Authority is planning to move more if its investment capital into emerging markets. Its management believes that countries like India and China have more growth potential than the…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 19 years ago

Goldman (GS) Puts Recession Odds Very High

Losses related to record U.S. home foreclosures using a “back-of-the-envelope” calculation may be as high as $400 billion for financial companies, Jan Hatzius, chief economist at Goldman (GS) in New York wrote in a…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 19 years ago

Fed Increasing Public Forecasting; To Confuse Further

The FOMC under Bernanke is now saying that it wants to increase its communication to the public and will increase its public forecasting from twice per year to four-times per year.  This pertains to…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 19 years ago

A Perfect Storm For Recession Appears

The term "perfect storm" is overused by writers who have no other way to describe a disaster. Leaving that aside, the news from the last day would appear to indicate that a recession is…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 19 years ago

An Ill Wind Blows For Corporate Debt

Forget mortgage problems. The Wall Street Journal says that corporate debt is running into more trouble. The paper says that "Fitch Ratings says downgrades of corporate bonds rose in the third quarter to $92.1…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 19 years ago

FOMC Delivers 25/25 Cuts

The FOMC did trim both the Fed Funds Rate and the Discount Rate by 25 basis points each today.   There was some dissention among the Fed Governors if you read through the statement.  You…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 19 years ago

Why The Fed Won’t Cut Rates

The two major reasons given in the media for the Fed to cut rates tomorrow are that fact that the stock market wants them to and that it might help the housing market. At…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 19 years ago

FOMC OCT 2007 Dilemma: Rate Cut Versus Dollar Crisis

We do not have the final numbers in for today, but as of yesterday the 30-day FED FUND FUTURES contract wasn’t deciding IF the FOMC would cut rates.  It showed a 100% chance of…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 19 years ago