The rise in production at Chinese factories will increase the need for petroleum-based chemicals. It will also cause transportation companies in the People’s Republic to add to their fleets and schedules to get manufactured products from factories in the center of the country to ports.
China may not be the only nation that will post a sharp increase in GDP this year. Indian economists expect GDP in the world’s second most populus nation to rise 7% to 8%. A number of experts believe that a rapid increase in exports will help US GDP to move higher quickly, An increase in federal taxes in 2011 may also move a great deal of economic activity into the second half of 2010.
Most new oil exploration has moved from land to the oceans and Arctic where untapped fields sit miles below the ocean’s surface. The cost to recovery oil from these depths is higher than it is to drill in the deserts of the Middle East or jungles of Nigeria.
Crude prices are rising again and the dynamics of future oil production and an improved global economy will cause those increases to continue well into the middle of this year.
Douglas A. McIntyre