Slightly Good News From Homebuilder Earnings (HOV, TOL, XHB)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published

Traders are lightly selling Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (NYSE: HOV) and Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE: TOL) after the two homebuilders reported earnings between yesterday’s close and this morning’s open.  The news is also impacting the SPDR S&P Homebuilders (NYSE: XHB) on a lesser basis.

Hovnanian (HOV) rose as the numbers were not as bad as expected.  Imagine a -$1.50 loss for a $3.00 stock not being atrocious… The homebuilder lost $118.6 million for the quarter, but this compares to a loss of $340.7 million (-$5.29 EPS) a year ago.  Revenue was essentially cut in half and came in at $398 million.

Toll Brothers (TOL) managed to post a narrower loss.  This homebuilder lost $83.2 million, or -$0.52 EPS, and said writedowns were lower than expected.  Toll lost $93.7 million a year ago, or -$0.59 EPS.  Revenue fell 51 percent to $398.3 million from $818 million.It also said that buyers are returning to the market.

Toll Brothers is down 0.6% at $19.40 in early trading and on thin volume of only about 5,000 shares; its 52-week trading range is $13.55 to $28.00.  Hovnanian is down 2.3% at $2.95 in early trading on about 50,000 shares; its 52-week range is $0.52 to $9.67.

The SPDR S&P Homebuilders (NYSE: XHB) is down marginally on very thin trading volume after a $12.72 close; its 52-week trading is $8.00 to $24.93.   Again, it is hard to call any of the news as good news when you see drops this big.  But when everyone keeps looking merely for green shoots, sometimes bad is just good enough.

Jon C. Ogg
June 3, 2009

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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