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Investing

Tradesports Contracts

Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published

From Ticker Sense

Below we highlight a few key forecasts as measured by Tradesports contracts.  The first one below is a contract that trades on whether the Federal Funds Rate will be at or above 5.25% by the end of 2007.  As shown, the price of the contract has risen steadily to just about 50 since the start of the year. 

The second contract measures the odds of a US recession by the end of 2007.  That contract price has steadily declined since the start of the year, indicating traders aren’t betting on a recession.

In the final chart, we highlight the historical prices of the various 2008 US Presidential candidates.  The contracts expire at 100 if the candidate wins the election and 0 if the candidate loses.  As shown, Hillary Clinton is the current favorite, while McCain is slipping and Giuliani is gaining.

Fedfunds

Tradesportrec

Presidency

http://www.tickersense.typepad.com/

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Photo of Douglas A. McIntyre
About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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