XRP Price Analysis: XRP Posts Six Straight Monthly Losses — Could April Break the Streak?

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By Sam Daodu Published

Quick Read

  • XRP has posted six consecutive monthly losses for the first time since 2014, driven by the October crash, the Iran war, and holders selling into every bounce

  • XRP closed March at $1.33 and only needs a monthly close above that price to break the streak.

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XRP Price Analysis: XRP Posts Six Straight Monthly Losses — Could April Break the Streak?

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XRP’s (CRYPTO: XRP) price has dropped every single month since the crypto market got liquidated in October 2025. The token is now down over 60% from the $3.65 cycle high it hit last July. This is the first time in over a decade that XRP has been on a six-month losing streak, and it all happened when the token had better regulatory clarity and Ripple sealed numerous deals.

However, April is showing early signs of a turnaround. Bitcoin has just climbed above $70,000, and XRP led all crypto assets in ETF inflows last week with $120 million. The XRP price is now trading above $1.35 after dipping toward $1.28. With bullish momentum building across the crypto market, will XRP finally break its monthly losing streak this April?

XRP’s Six-Month Slide: What Happened and Why?

Ripple XRP on cryptocurrency coin with falling crashing graph in background. The cryptocurrency coin is golden and in focus. This is a price concept of Ripple down market.
Useacoin / Shutterstock.com

The crypto market was already fragile when Trump’s 100% China tariff announcement hit on October 10 and triggered the largest single-day liquidation in crypto history. Over $19 billion in leveraged positions were wiped out in under 24 hours, and XRP dropped from above $2.80 to below $2.00 in the aftermath. The market tried to recover through November and December, but ETF outflows and fading institutional confidence kept dragging prices lower before any rally could stick.

Then the Iran war started in late February and shut down whatever recovery was left. Oil prices surged above $100 after the Strait of Hormuz was closed, the Fed responded by raising its inflation forecast, and institutional money moved out of risk assets entirely. Every XRP catalyst in 2026—the commodity classification, the ETF inflows, the Ripple partnerships—got buried under macro conditions that made it impossible for any crypto to rally regardless of its own fundamentals.

The selling from XRP’s own holders compounded the damage to the price. Around 60% of XRP’s circulating supply is held at a loss, so each time the price bounced toward the $1.44 average cost basis, a wave of holders who had been underwater sold just to get out. The cycle repeated on every bounce from November through March, and it’s the main reason the streak extended to six months.

Why April 2026 Could Be the Month That Breaks the Streak

wooden blocks with an inscription ripple and a block symbolizing the rise and fall of the currency index
SergeiShimanovich / Shutterstock.com

For the first time since October, the crypto market is showing real signs of recovery. Bitcoin is back above $71,000, Ethereum has climbed past $2,250, Solana is pushing toward $85, and XRP is trading above $1.35 after spending weeks pinned near $1.28. The momentum across the board has shifted from constant selling to actual buying, and XRP is moving with it.

Large holders have been positioning for a big move up. CryptoQuant data from April 6 shows whale accumulation hitting a 10-month high, with large wallets adding over 11 million XRP per day on a 30-day average. Exchange outflows have also accelerated, which means less XRP is sitting on exchanges available to sell—and when supply tightens like that, it doesn’t take much buying to push the price higher.

The CLARITY Act could also pass this month if the Senate Banking Committee moves forward with the markup it’s been targeting for late April. If it does, XRP gets permanently classified as a digital commodity under federal law, which could unlock billions in new ETF inflows. If it stalls past May, midterm politics will shelve it for the rest of 2026—so the outcome of this month carries more weight for XRP than any of the six that came before it.

Is This the Month XRP’s Losing Streak Finally Ends?

XRP closed March at roughly $1.33, which means all it needs to break the six-month streak is a monthly close above that price. The conditions that kept the streak alive for half a year are shifting: the broader market is recovering, whale accumulation is at a 10-month high, and the CLARITY Act has a real chance of moving forward before the midterm window closes.

XRP is already trading above $1.35 with most of April still ahead. If Bitcoin holds above $70,000 and the CLARITY Act clears the Senate Banking Committee, the buying pressure that’s been building has room to push XRP well past even $1.40.

Photo of Sam Daodu
About the Author Sam Daodu →

Sam Daodu is a crypto analyst who's spent nearly a decade making blockchain understandable—no easy task when most whitepapers read like fever dreams. He writes for 24/7 Wall St., covering Bitcoin, altcoins, and crypto market analysis for investors. Before crypto, he was a tech writer (back when explaining "the cloud" was peak innovation). Since 2018, he's written for CoinTelegraph, Yahoo Finance, The Block, Cryptonews, Zypto, Rain, and more—basically anywhere people want crypto news without the headache. Sam runs MacLabs Marketing, a content agency for crypto brands tired of sounding like AI wrote their website. He also publishes free crypto education on his site for Web3 enthusiasts who think "gas fees" is a typo. When he's not writing or staring at charts, Sam's either: - Watching anime (currently convinced One Piece has better tokenomics than most altcoins) - At the gym sculpting himself into a Greek god - Listening to the music your mum warned you only bad boys listen to Connect: LinkedIn | Email | MacLabs Marketing

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