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Investors are watching Hims & Hers (NYSE:HIMS) ahead of its first-quarter results due today after the close. After a 45.8% rally in the last month, expectations have reset sharply.
A Rally Built on GLP-1 Optimism
Last quarter, the telehealth platform delivered $617.82M in revenue, up 28.41% year over year, and adjusted EPS of $0.08, beating the $0.05 estimate. Subscribers crossed 2.5 million, with monthly revenue per subscriber climbing to $83.
Since the company’s Q4 report, shares have rebounded hard. A GLP-1 expansion announcement on April 23 and RFK Jr.’s commentary on peptide policy reignited retail interest. Management also guided for full-year 2026 revenue to $2.7B to $2.9B and adjusted EBITDA to $300M to $375M, anchored on continued compounded semaglutide access.
Guidance and YoY Setup
| Metric |
Q1 2026 Guide |
Q1 2025 Actual |
| Revenue |
$600M–$625M |
$586M |
| Adj. EBITDA |
$35M–$55M |
$91.1M |
| EPS (Q1 2025 reported) |
n/a |
$0.20 |
| FY 2026 Revenue |
$2.7B–$2.9B |
| FY 2026 Adj. EBITDA |
$300M–$375M |
Margins, Cash Flow, and the GLP-1 Question
I’ll be watching three numbers closely. First, gross margin. It compressed roughly 500 basis points to 72% in Q4 due to international scaling and lower shipping costs. It will be exciting to see if management shows that the trajectory is stabilizing here.
Second, free cash flow. It swung to negative $2.57M in Q4 as capex jumped 137.61% to $63.88M on pharmacy automation. With roughly $1B in convertible debt from the May 2025 offering, the cash conversion story matters.
Third, compounded semaglutide. Guidance explicitly assumes continued access. Any FDA or political shift on that program reshapes the model fast. Investors will look for any details on the pending Eucalyptus acquisition (Australia and Japan, ARR around $450M) and the ZAVA Europe deal, both of which underpin the $1B international revenue target within three years.
The crowd is bracing for trouble. Polymarket pegs the probability of an earnings beat at just 8.5%, while analyst consensus price targets are $26.04, versus a stock price of $30.12.
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