XRP Price Analysis: Will XRP ETF Inflows Stall as Price Approaches $1?

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By Sam Daodu Published

Quick Read

  • XRP ETFs recorded a $5.34 million net outflow on June 3, marking the first negative print since April 30 and the first crack in a five-week clean inflow streak. The streak broke as XRP slid to a 15-week low of $1.10. The funds had also just logged their strongest monthly inflow of 2026 in May, at $131.94 million, accelerating from April's $81.59 million.

  • Two months ago, Goldman Sachs fully exited a $153.8 million XRP ETF position, the single largest known institutional holding, representing roughly 73% of the top 30 institutional buyers combined. The same week Goldman's Q1 13F was filed, XRP ETFs posted their biggest weekly inflow of 2026 at $60.5 million. Total buying demand exceeded $214 million to absorb the exit and stay net positive.

  • The bid is now facing three converging pressures Goldman never tested: Bitcoin down 25.5% in 30 days with spot BTC ETFs ending a record 13-day outflow streak of $4.4 billion, Ripple's June 1 escrow unlock of 1 billion XRP adding 200-400 million in potential circulating supply, and $1 as the next major psychological and technical support. The Goldman exit happened when XRP was trading near $1.37 with the macro a bit firmer. This test happens at $1.10 with macro in crisis.

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XRP Price Analysis: Will XRP ETF Inflows Stall as Price Approaches $1?

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While the rest of the crypto market was bleeding through May, XRP ETFs were quietly having their best month of the year, with $131.94 million in net inflows. The funds had also proved the institutional bid was steady two months ago when they absorbed Goldman Sachs’ $154 million exit and still posted $60.5 million in new buying the same week.

But on June 3, that streak finally broke. XRP ETFs recorded a $5.34 million outflow, the first negative day in five weeks, and the funds have not regained any momentum since. The break has come at the worst possible moment, with XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) now sliding toward $1.

So can the funds that survived Goldman Sachs’ exit hold up against the macro and the $1 support test? 

How XRP ETFs’ Five-Week Inflow Streak Broke on June 3 

ETF Exchange-traded fund stock market trading investment financial concept.

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On June 3, U.S. spot XRP ETFs recorded a net outflow of $5.34 million, the first negative print since April 30, ending a five-week run of clean inflows. Bitwise’s XRP ETF led the outflow at $4.06 million, with Grayscale’s GXRP shedding another $699,000. Franklin’s XRPZ was the only fund to attract new money the following day, posting $3.83 million on June 4, well below the daily pace seen through May. And on June 5, the ETFs went flat at $0 in net flows.

One outflow day doesn’t make a trend. But five weeks of unbroken inflows ending on the same week XRP slid below $1.20 isn’t a coincidence either.

Right before the June 3 outflow, XRP ETFs were having their best month of the year. By the end of May 2026, they had logged $131.94 million in net subscriptions, an acceleration from April’s $81.59 million. In the week ending May 16, the funds alone pulled in $60.5 million, the biggest weekly print of 2026. The bid was at its strongest right before the streak broke. But that same bid had survived something bigger only weeks earlier.

Across the complex, the cumulative numbers still look healthy on the surface. Cumulative net inflows have reached $1.43 billion since the funds launched in November 2025, with total net assets at $927.78 million across five active spot XRP ETFs as of June 5. But cumulative numbers only show where money has already gone, not whether new money is still coming in. The answer to that lies in what happened the last time the bid faced a stress test.

How XRP ETFs Absorbed Goldman’s $154M Exit (and Why It Matters Now)

A person wearing a teal shirt interacts with a glowing, holographic 'ETF' button on a translucent screen. Their right index finger touches the button, with a bright light emanating from the point of contact. Their left hand holds a dark tablet device. Arranged to the right of the 'ETF' button are six other translucent square icons representing financial concepts: currency exchange, a percentage sign, a bar chart with a magnifying glass, a different bar chart, a money bag with a dollar sign, and a globe. The background is dark and subtly blurred.

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Two months ago, the XRP ETFs faced their biggest stress test of the year. Goldman Sachs disclosed in its Q4 2025 13F filing that it held $153.8 million in spot XRP ETF shares, which was the largest known institutional position in the entire products. 

The exposure spread across four issuers—Bitwise, Franklin Templeton’s XRPZ, Grayscale, and 21Shares—each holding roughly $36 to $40 million of the total. Of the top 30 institutional holders combined, Goldman alone accounted for around 73%. Then in mid-May, when Goldman filed its Q1 2026 report, the entire position was gone.

The market’s reaction told us what we needed to know. The same week Goldman’s exit hit the headlines, U.S. spot XRP ETFs registered $60.5 million in net inflows, their biggest weekly print of 2026. For XRP ETFs to absorb a $154 million institutional exit and post $60.5 million in new buying that same week, total buying demand had to exceed roughly $214 million. While Goldman’s selective retreat showed institutional caution, the retail bid that absorbed it showed conviction.

That week proved the XRP ETF bid wasn’t structurally dependent on Goldman or any other concentrated institutional buyer. It was retail-led, with distributed and persistent demand that 13F filings miss but daily flow data captures. 

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan described that period of buying as a level of demand in a weak market that “would have been impossible without the ETF wrapper.” That test happened when XRP was at $1.37, with the broader market firmer than it is today. This time, the XRP price has fallen below $1.10 and the macro is now actively pulling against the bid.

What Could Actually Break the Bid as XRP Approaches $1

Hands of male trader holding Ripple XRP cryptocurrency token, investing in stock market to exchange it while trading using pc from home. Selective focus

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The current setup looks nothing like the one Goldman exited into. Bitcoin trades at $61,000, down 25.5% over the last 30 days. The total crypto market cap has crashed below $2.2 trillion and is testing the $2 trillion zone, which is the same area that marked February’s panic lows. 

Spot Bitcoin ETFs just ended a record 13-day outflow streak that pulled $4.4 billion out of the funds—the longest run since launch—with a tentative $3 million net inflow on June 4. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index has shifted into Extreme Fear territory. So, macro is the primary driver behind every outflow right now.

On top of that macro pressure, a supply event arrived at exactly the wrong moment. On June 1, the same day XRP broke through $1.28, Ripple executed its scheduled monthly escrow release, unlocking 1 billion XRP across three transactions worth roughly $1.33 billion at the time. 

Ripple typically re-locks 60-80% of each release, which means 200 to 400 million XRP is now potentially circulating into a falling market. The unlock itself would normally be routine, since the schedule is monthly and well-known. The damage came from the timing, because the unlock arrived the same day price broke support, dropping fresh supply into a market that was already collapsing.

And then there’s the $1 support zone. Beyond the round-number psychology, the $1 level aligns with the Bollinger lower band on XRP’s monthly chart and the macro demand zone that held February’s panic lows at $1.11. It’s the same support floor that held when XRP last looked broken, and analysts have flagged it as the level deciding whether this is a deep correction or a structural break. If the bid that survived Goldman couldn’t hold $1.37, the real question is whether it finally finds support at $1, or breaks straight through.

Two months ago, the test was a single concentrated institutional seller. Today, the bid is facing three pressures at once. Goldman left when XRP was at $1.37 and macro was firmer. Now XRP trades near $1.10, macro is in crisis, fresh supply is hitting circulation, and the market sentiment is crushed.

What Decides Whether the XRP ETF Bid Holds at $1

The bid that powered May inflows and absorbed Goldman’s exit is now in its hardest test yet. Three signals could decide which way it goes this month.

The first is whether the $1 support actually holds. If XRP cracks below it, the bid faces its first psychological floor break ever, and that alone could trigger capitulation selling that the funds have so far avoided.

The second is whether Bitwise reverses. The June 3 outflow leader still holds the largest cumulative inflow at $467 million, so a return to consistent positive flow over the next two weeks would mark the streak break as noise rather than a structural shift. But if Bitwise keeps bleeding, the rest of the complex tends to follow.

The XRP ETF bid handled Goldman’s exit on its own, but holding the line against a falling price, a crashing macro, and a stalled CLARITY vote at the same time is a much harder fight.

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About the Author Sam Daodu →

Sam Daodu is a crypto analyst who's spent nearly a decade making blockchain understandable—no easy task when most whitepapers read like fever dreams. He writes for 24/7 Wall St., covering Bitcoin, altcoins, and crypto market analysis for investors. Before crypto, he was a tech writer (back when explaining "the cloud" was peak innovation). Since 2018, he's written for CoinTelegraph, Yahoo Finance, The Block, Cryptonews, Zypto, Rain, and more—basically anywhere people want crypto news without the headache. Sam runs MacLabs Marketing, a content agency for crypto brands tired of sounding like AI wrote their website. He also publishes free crypto education on his site for Web3 enthusiasts who think "gas fees" is a typo. When he's not writing or staring at charts, Sam's either: - Watching anime (currently convinced One Piece has better tokenomics than most altcoins) - At the gym sculpting himself into a Greek god - Listening to the music your mum warned you only bad boys listen to Connect: LinkedIn | Email | MacLabs Marketing

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