If You Think The Market Will Ever Fall, Buy This

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published

Quick Read

  • The S&P 500 is up 80% over five years, and Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs are expected to reach $1 trillion market caps at or shortly after launch.

  • Altria (MO) yields 6.2%, has raised its dividend for 56 consecutive years, and saw Q1 EPS more than double to $1.30 despite its sin-stock status.

  • Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and Johnson & Johnson didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.

If You Think The Market Will Ever Fall, Buy This

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The stock market isn’t going to fall again, at least in this century. The S&P is up 8% this year. It is up 25% in the last year, and 80% over the last five. Some stocks of relatively well-known companies have doubled or better since January 1. Among the most extraordinary is the dying chip company Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), which has risen 263% this year.

And now that the SpaceX IPO has begun to trade, there will be more meat in the water for the individual investor piranha. Anthropic and OpenAI are likely to begin trading later this year and are expected to reach a $1 trillion market cap on their first day of trading, or soon after.

If anyone is frightened at all, there are the big, old dividend payers. Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ | JNJ Price Prediction) is on this list. So is Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG). Among them, one dividend stock has also traded sharply high. The stock of tobacco company Altria (NYSE: MO) is up 20% this year. It has a dividend yield of almost 6.2%. It has raised its dividend for 56 consecutive years.

Regardless of these benefits, the company remains a difficult investment for many because of its products. It owns the world’s most popular cigarette brand, Marlboro, which is by far the largest contributor to its revenue.

The plane fact is that the CDC reports that 480,000 Americans die from smoking every year. Worldwide, the figure is above 8 million. It is the largest preventable cause of death globally. Altria is a “sin stock,” which is usually applied to all tobacco and alcohol companies.

In the first quarter of this year, revenue rose 3.2% tp $5.43 billion. Reported diluted EPS more than doubled to $1.30. More than the earnings, investors cheered guidance. “We reaffirm our expectation to deliver 2026 full-year adjusted diluted EPS in a range of $5.56 to $5.72, representing a growth rate of 2.5% to 5.5% from a base of $5.42 in 2025,” the company said

For those who worry about a market sell-off, Altria is an excellent safe harbor, if you can stand what the company does to make money.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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