Forget Pouring Everything Into the SpaceX IPO. This Fund Spreads the Space Bet and Is Up 46% in a Year

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By David Beren Published

Quick Read

  • With SpaceX's IPO float expected at just 4%, ARKX delivers 47% one-year returns across 35 space positions at normal market prices.

  • Rocket Lab (RKLB) surged 190% this past year; when it dropped 30%, L3Harris (LHX) limited ARKX's decline to just 7%.

  • Act now: the analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 AI stocks — and AMD didn't make the cut. Grab the names FREE today.

Forget Pouring Everything Into the SpaceX IPO. This Fund Spreads the Space Bet and Is Up 46% in a Year

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The ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF (CBOE:ARKX) has become a popular parking spot for investors seeking space exposure without waiting for the SpaceX IPO. With Elon Musk’s rocket company reportedly headed toward a public listing at a valuation north of a trillion dollars, retail demand for a single ticker capturing the theme has surged. ARKX, with $893 million in net assets and 35 positions, spreads the bet across launch providers, defense contractors, and chipmakers that supply them. The fund is up 46.71% over the past year, and the case for owning it rather than betting everything on a single IPO allocation merits examination.

Why the SpaceX-Only Trade Is Tempting

SpaceX dominates commercial launch, controls Starlink, and is treated as the default proxy for the entire space economy. A single allocation at IPO pricing appears to be the cleanest way to own the theme. The problem is access. Retail investors will likely receive minimal allotments at IPO, and secondary-market float in the first months will be thin. One of our podcast discussions put it bluntly: “What we have for SpaceX remains tiny float, only 4% of shares traded.” Concentrating capital into a tightly held debut at a valuation already estimated near a trillion dollars leaves little margin for error.

Where the Single-Stock Bet Falls Short

A SpaceX allocation gives an investor a single company, a single balance sheet, and a single regulatory environment. The space economy is broader than that. Launch is a piece of it, but so are satellite communications, defense electronics, semiconductors powering orbital compute, and ground navigation systems. A reader who buys SpaceX alone gets none of that secondary exposure and pays a price set by IPO underwriters rather than a competitive market. If the listing prices rise and trade down, as overheated debuts often do, the concentrated holder absorbs the full drawdown.

What ARKX Actually Owns

This fund is built on the premise that space is really a supply chain story more than anything else. The top holding is L3Harris Technologies at 7.83% of net assets, followed closely by Rocket Lab at 7.78%. Rocket Lab is the most direct competitor to the dominant launch player in the portfolio, and its stock has done the heavy lifting on recent returns, gaining 190.18% over the past year. The larger defense contractor in the top spot added 18.86%, and another name in the defense space contributed 16.43% over that same period.

Below the top names, the fund holds AMD at 6.14%, Teradyne at 6.64%, and meaningful positions in Iridium Communications, Joby Aviation, Archer Aviation, and Intuitive Machines. That mix captures the chips, test equipment, satellite networks, and lunar logistics that any space buildout requires. It also reaches outside the U.S. with Airbus, Thales, and Elbit Systems.

The Diversification Mechanism

The single largest holding caps the fund’s exposure at under 8%, so no one disappointment can take the position down by more than a few points. Rocket Lab’s 29.94% drop over the past month illustrates the point. While that move would gut a concentrated holder, ARKX itself fell 7.34% in the same window because L3Harris, AMD, and the defense names absorbed less of the selloff. The structural trade-off is real: ARKX will move less than a concentrated SpaceX position in either direction, dampening both the upside of a runaway IPO and the downside of a broken debut.

The Real Tradeoffs

This fund is actively managed, which means you get turnover and discretion from the research team running it. Its five-year return of roughly 56% trails broad market indexes over that same period, so it really sits in thematic allocation territory rather than core holding status. The fund has no direct position in the dominant launch company today, so an investor seeking pure exposure to that equity will not find it here. If and when that company goes public, the fund may add it, but its weight is unlikely to exceed the cap applied to other individual holdings.

How to Think About Sizing

For an investor planning to chase a small IPO allocation, ARKX works as the broader sleeve holding the rest of the space budget. Buying the ETF in a tax-advantaged account avoids the capital-gains friction of trimming later. For a reader who already owns several of the top holdings directly, overlap is worth noting, since AMD, Amazon, and Alphabet appear in many core funds.

Reading the Setup

This fund offers a way to own the rest of the space economy at a normal market price, with position caps that limit single-stock risk and a roster that has produced a 46.71% one-year return without depending on any one company. For a reader weighing how much capital to commit to an IPO where they may receive only a sliver of the allocation, the fund is worth evaluating as a diversified anchor for that single bet.

Photo of David Beren
About the Author David Beren →

David Beren has been a Flywheel Publishing contributor since 2022. Writing for 24/7 Wall St. since 2023, David loves to write about topics of all shapes and sizes. As a technology expert, David focuses heavily on consumer electronics brands, automobiles, and general technology. He has previously written for LifeWire, formerly About.com. As a part-time freelance writer, David’s “day job” has been working on and leading social media for multiple Fortune 100 brands. David loves the flexibility of this field and its ability to reach customers exactly where they like to spend their time. Additionally, David previously published his own blog, TmoNews.com, which reached 3 million readers in its first year. In addition to freelance and social media work, David loves to spend time with his family and children and relive the glory days of video game consoles by playing any retro game console he can get his hands on.

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