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Tilray Brands (NASDAQ:TLRY) reports Q4 FY2026 results today at 4:05 PM ET, with the call scheduled for 4:30 PM ET. Shares sit at $4.03, and tonight’s report tests whether CEO Irwin Simon’s global platform lands within its reaffirmed FY2026 EBITDA guide.
The Backdrop: Global Wins, Beverage Drag
Q3 FY2026 delivered a $206.73 million revenue beat, but adjusted EPS of $0.02 missed the $0.07 consensus by 71.43%. International cannabis grew 73% to $24.12M, and distribution hit a record $82.96M (+35%).
Beverage revenue declined, and consolidated gross margin slipped from 28% to 27%. TLRY is down 13.15% over the past month and 41.47% over the past year. Management reaffirmed FY2026 adjusted EBITDA of $62M to $72M, flagged Middle East geopolitical risk, and closed the BrewDog acquisition for approximately £40 million in cash.
Consensus Estimates
| Metric |
Q4 FY2026 Estimate |
FY2026 Guide |
| Adjusted EPS |
-$0.02 |
Not disclosed |
| Adjusted EBITDA |
Not disclosed |
$62M to $72M |
Sell-side coverage is thin: 3 buys, 7 holds, with a $9.05 average target. TLRY trades at $4.00 per share today, at 0.58x sales and 0.3x book, framing tonight as an EBITDA credibility test more than an EPS event.
What We’re Watching: BrewDog, Margins, and Rescheduling
Tonight, I’ll be watching FY2026 adjusted EBITDA. CEO Simon held the $62M-$72M range through three quarters, so any walk-down tonight signals that Q3 execution slippage bled through Q4.
Beverage matters most. Q2 FY2026 revenue fell 21% with gross margin compressing from 40% to 31%. BrewDog closed post-quarter, so I’ll parse integration commentary and any early framing on the 2027 Carlsberg partnership.
International cannabis is another interesting story, with three straight quarters of accelerating growth at +10%, +36%, and +73%. Simon called Q3 the company’s “best quarterly net revenue in Company history.”
Cash is the pressure point. Free cash flow deteriorated to -$24.19M in Q3, and cash sits at $204.62M, down 29.15% YoY. Project 420 delivered $33M in annualized savings, so operating leverage should surface in the SG&A line.
Finally, listen for Simon’s U.S. federal rescheduling framing. He has tied Tilray’s U.S. beverage and medical optionality to that timeline in every recent call.
Earnings History
| Quarter |
EPS Surprise |
Day-of Move |
1-Day Move |
7-Day Move |
| Q3 FY2026 |
-71.43% |
-5.1% |
+6.68% |
+9.45% |
| Q2 FY2026 |
Miss vs $0.00 |
+0.55% |
+1.31% |
+3% |
| Q1 FY2026 |
In line |
+22.09% |
-18.1% |
-26.67% |
| Q4 FY2025 |
+200% |
-17.55% |
+6.15% |
+10.21% |
On average, shares moved -1% seven days after earnings over the past year.
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