Energy Transfer Co-Founder’s $15 Million Bet Near a 52-Week High Sends a Bullish Message

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By Trey Thoelcke Published

Quick Read

  • Kelcy Warren bought 1 million ET units near their 52-week high at $21.27, a discretionary $15 million move signaling strong insider conviction.

  • ET beat Q2 EPS estimates by 59%, raised full-year EBITDA guidance to $19 billion, and declared its 19th consecutive quarterly distribution increase.

  • ET's forward P/E of 13 and 6.4% yield are attractive, but its K-1 tax structure makes it a poor fit for retirement accounts.

  • The most widely read finance newsletter on Substack isn't published by a bank, it's Doomberg, where 383,000+ readers get the energy and macro analysis the mainstream press misses. 24/7 Wall St. readers save 17% on their first year here.

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Energy Transfer Co-Founder’s $15 Million Bet Near a 52-Week High Sends a Bullish Message

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Energy Transfer (NYSE:ET | ET Price Prediction) director and co-founder Kelcy Warren stepped into the open market on August 18 and August 19, 2026, personally directing the accumulation of a large block of common units at prices within pennies of the partnership’s 52-week high. The Form 4 disclosing the buys was filed with the SEC on August 20, 2026. The checkbox for a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan was not checked, meaning this was discretionary buying at Warren’s direction.

What the Filing Actually Says

Warren is listed on the form only as Director. The transactions were coded P for open-market purchases. On August 18, 352,032 common units were acquired at a weighted average price of $21.27, with individual fills ranging from $21.175 to $21.30. On August 19, another 647,968 units were acquired at a weighted average of $21.26, with fills between $21.185 and $21.30. Both blocks were indirect, held through Kelcy Warren Partners, a limited partnership owned by Warren, who disclaims beneficial ownership except to the extent of his pecuniary interest. Units owned by that entity following the two transactions stood at 147,901,879.

Buying Into Strength at 52-Week Highs

The signal here is unusual because Warren was buying at the highs. Energy Transfer traded around $21.26 on the morning of August 21, 2026, against a 52-week high of $21.64. The units are up 35.6% year to date, 6.5% over one month, 31.6% over one year, and 249.4% over five years. The market cap stands near $73.0 billion, with a beta of 0.562. Insiders typically buy on weakness for tax and psychological reasons. Buying at the highs, discretionarily, through an entity Warren controls, is a stronger signal of conviction about forward fundamentals than a routine dip-buy would be.

The Thesis the Numbers Support

Energy Transfer is executing. Q2 2026 delivered EPS of $0.59 against a $0.37 estimate, with revenue of $34.33 billion, up 78.43% year over year. Adjusted EBITDA rose 31% to $5.07 billion, and management raised full-year 2026 guidance to $18.8 billion to $19.1 billion. Growth capital of $5.6 billion to $5.9 billion is being deployed into projects with visible demand. These include the Hugh Brinson Pipeline, Nederland NGL export expansion, and the Transwestern Desert Southwest upsizing. They also include long-term natural-gas supply to Oracle data centers ramping toward approximately 900 MMcf/d across three sites. The partnership just declared its 19th consecutive quarterly distribution increase, at $0.34 per common unit, or $1.36 annualized.

ET earnings explorer

Should a Retirement Investor Follow?

ET analyst ratings

The setup is attractive on the numbers. Forward P/E is 13, the distribution yield is 6.4%, and the Wall Street consensus target is $24.48. That yield is also the kind that makes a mid-six-figure balance start generating meaningful monthly income. (We outline what that looks like at $250K in a free income guide.)

ET price target

One important caveat for income investors: Energy Transfer is a limited partnership and issues a K-1 for tax reporting. That complicates tax filing, can create unrelated business taxable income inside IRAs above certain thresholds, and generally makes ET a better fit for a taxable brokerage account than a retirement wrapper. Warren’s buying at the highs, in size, without a 10b5-1 plan, is a genuine signal of conviction from the person who knows the asset base best. Retail investors who can accept the K-1 mechanics can currently transact within pennies of an insider’s weighted average fills, a data point worth monitoring alongside forward fundamentals.

 

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

Photo of Trey Thoelcke
About the Author Trey Thoelcke →

Trey has been an editor and author at 24/7 Wall St. for more than a decade, where he has published thousands of articles analyzing corporate earnings, dividend stocks, short interest, insider buying, private equity, and market trends. His comprehensive coverage spans the full spectrum of financial markets, from blue-chip stalwarts to emerging growth companies.

Beyond 24/7 Wall St., Trey has created and edited financial content for Benzinga and AOL's BloggingStocks, contributing additional hundreds of articles to the investment community. He previously oversaw the 24/7 Climate Insights site, managing editorial operations and content strategy, and currently oversees and creates content for My Investing News.

Trey's editorial expertise extends across multiple publishing environments. He served as production editor at Dearborn Financial Publishing and development editor at Kaplan, where he helped shape financial education materials. Earlier in his career, he worked as a writer-producer at SVE. His freelance editing portfolio includes work for prestigious clients such as Sage Publications, Rand McNally, the Institute for Supply Management, the American Library Association, Eggplant Literary Productions, and Spiegel.

Outside of financial journalism, Trey writes fiction and has been an active member of the writing community for years, overseeing a long-running critique group and moderating workshop sessions at regional conventions. He lives with his family in an old house in the Midwest.

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