Key KPIs to Watch Tonight
Beyond the headline results, the reaction hinges on remaining performance obligations (last at $9.21 billion, up 38% year-over-year), net revenue retention (126%), and Cortex Code adoption across over 7,100 accounts.
Another FY27 product revenue raise above $5.84 billion would validate the AI-plus-consumption flywheel.
Options Positioning and Sentiment Split
The Sept. 4 expiration dominates flow with 10,855 call and 10,789 put contracts traded, signaling a wide expected swing. Polymarket assigns a 95.8% probability to an EPS beat, yet composite sentiment reads a bearish 32.07.
Triggers for a Significant Move
History warns of asymmetry: Q3 FY26 beat by 12.47% yet closed -11.41% on the day.
Product revenue below $1.415 billion, softer NRR, or unchanged FY27 guidance could deepen today’s -3.72% slide. A raise paired with RPO acceleration is the setup bulls require.