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Investors are watching Snowflake (NYSE:SNOW | SNOW Price Prediction) ahead of its Q1 FY2027 results, expected tonight, May 27, after the bell at 4:05 PM ET. After a strong Q4 finish and a sharp recent rally, this report will test whether AI-driven consumption can sustain the company’s 27% growth guide.
Momentum Meets a Higher Bar
Snowflake closed FY2026 with serious momentum. Q4 product revenue hit $1.23 billion, up 30% year-over-year, and remaining performance obligations jumped to $9.77 billion, up 42% YoY. Net revenue retention held at 125%, and the company added 740 net new customers, its strongest quarter on record.
Since that February 25 report, shares have moved in a wide arc. SNOW is up 26.57% over the past month to roughly $174.63, yet still down 19.04% year-to-date. The rebound reflects renewed conviction in CEO Sridhar Ramaswamy’s claim that “Snowflake sits at the center of the enterprise AI revolution.”
Consensus Estimates
| Metric |
Q1 FY27 Guide |
YoY Growth |
| Product Revenue |
$1,262M to $1,267M |
27% |
| Non-GAAP Operating Margin |
9.0% |
n/a |
| FY27 Product Revenue |
$5,660M |
27% |
| FY27 Non-GAAP Op Margin |
12.5% |
n/a |
Polymarket traders price the probability of a beat at 94.5%, with 98.6% odds that product revenue clears $1.25B but only 59% above $1.30B.
AI Consumption and Margin Math
I’ll be watching three things tonight closely. First, AI consumption: Snowflake Intelligence reached 2,500 accounts in three months, and 9,100+ accounts now use AI features. Cortex Code, the company’s AI coding agent, was already in 4,400+ customers at year-end. CEO Ramaswamy called it “the real game changer” for accelerating the data lifecycle. Translating that adoption into measurable consumption growth is the test.
Second, margins. The FY27 guide implies a non-GAAP operating margin jump to 12.5% from 10.5% in FY26, while absorbing a 150-basis-point free cash flow headwind from the $600 million Observe acquisition. CFO Brian Robins flagged that newer AI products carry lower gross margins, offset by efficiency in the core. Investors will look at whether Q1 operating leverage tracks the 9% guide cleanly.
Third, deal momentum. Q4 included Snowflake’s largest contract ever, at over $400 million, and seven nine-figure deals, versus two a year prior. RPO growth of 42%, well above current revenue growth, is the cleanest forward signal in the model. A reacceleration there could matter materially more than an earnings beat.
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