Bitcoin and Ethereum Just Hit Their Lowest Prices Since August After $1 Billion in Liquidations. Where Do Analysts Say They Bottom?

A liquidation cascade just wiped out billions in leveraged bets, and Ethereum has already cracked a level Bitcoin is still defending. Analysts are now arguing over which line decides whether the sell-off ends or the real damage begins.

Published November 9, 2026, 12:01pm ET · 4 min read

The Crypto Desk desk. Editor: Sam Daodu.

This post may contain links from our sponsors and affiliates, and Flywheel Publishing may receive compensation for actions taken through them.

Bitcoin breaking price fall down below drop over sell-off in the crypto market. Cryptocurrency plunged negative value crash concept.
© Quality Stock Arts / Shutterstock.com

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) closed at $74,740 on November 8, 2026, marking its lowest daily close since it finished at $73,021 on August 20. Similarly, Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) ended at $2,124, its lowest since closing at $1,916 on August 18. Since then, both cryptocurrencies have bounced only slightly, with Bitcoin climbing to about $75,034 and Ethereum to approximately $2,134 on November 9.

In the last 24 hours, Ethereum has dropped 4.6%, while Bitcoin has decreased by 1.2%. Over the past 30 days, Bitcoin has lost 9.2% of its value, while Ethereum has dropped more sharply by 14.5%. So where do analysts see a Bitcoin bottom, and what could stop the selling pressure on Ethereum?

$913 Million in Forced Long Liquidations Led to This Sell-off

A person with dark, disheveled hair, seen from the side, sits at a desk in a dimly lit room with red lighting. Their right hand is pressed against their forehead, conveying distress or intense thought, as they stare at a computer monitor. The monitor displays a vivid red candlestick chart showing a steep and continuous downward trend. On the desk, a keyboard, mouse, and a digital clock displaying '77 °F' are visible.

Atichat Wattanasin Stone / Shutterstock.com

In just 24 hours leading up to 22:00 UTC on November 8, over $1 billion in crypto trading positions were liquidated, with approximately $913 million coming from long positions, trades that are funded by borrowed money and profit only when prices rise. When losses use up a trader’s collateral, an exchange closes the position. Each forced sale can push prices down further, potentially triggering a cascade of additional liquidations.

This chain reaction, known as a liquidation cascade, ceases when the excess long positions are closed. Bitcoin has faced two of these cascades in under two weeks, following a $1.3 billion long liquidation that pushed it to a five-week low on October 30. The small rebound since then appears to reflect forced selling slowing down, with new buyers yet to enter the market.

Traders are also feeling pressure from outside the crypto sphere. For instance, on November 8, NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA | NVDA Price Prediction) announced that independent directors would investigate reports regarding a foreign intelligence effort targeting its CEO, causing its stock to drop around 5% in premarket trading. Additionally, concerns about the implications of the U.S. midterm election results for crypto regulations are driving a broader downturn in cryptocurrencies.

Ethereum Has Fallen Below Its 200-Day Average, While Bitcoin Remains Above

Bitcoin coin with ETH. and ETF text Put on dark background, Concept Entering the Digital Money Fund.

K.unshu / Shutterstock.com

A moving average represents a coin’s average closing price over a specific time frame. When a coin’s price drops below its moving average, it signals that sellers controlled that timeframe. Bitcoin is currently trading 5% below its 20-day average of $79,005 and around 8.2% below its 50-day average of $81,760. Meanwhile, Ethereum is 7.6% below its 20-day average of $2,310 and 14% below its 50-day average of $2,481.

The 200-day average is a key threshold that traders often use to distinguish between bull and bear markets, and this is where the two cryptos diverge. Bitcoin remains about 2.5% above its 200-day average of $73,177, while Ethereum has already slipped roughly 1% below its 200-day average of $2,155. Market reports indicate that Bitcoin has also lost its 50-week moving average, which tracks the average weekly close for the past year.

Compared to other major cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience. Over the past week, XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) has fallen 11.5%, Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) 6.8%, and Ethereum by 6%, while Bitcoin’s drop was limited to 3%. All four cryptocurrencies recorded their lowest closing prices in 30 days on November 8.

Bitcoin’s stronger performance may be attributed to support from spot ETFs and corporate treasuries, which contribute to more stable buying. In contrast, smaller cryptocurrencies involve more leveraged positions, leading to more significant impacts during sell-offs. In October, Bitcoin hovered around its 50-day average, which it has now fallen below, making the 200-day average the next critical support level to watch.

Analysts See a $79,000 Ceiling and the 200-Day Average as the Bear Target

The on-chain data firm CryptoQuant noted that coins recently traded by short-term holders are currently moving down on average. As such, the $79,000 area, just 5% above Bitcoin’s current price, may prove to be a tougher level to break. Many short-term holders, those who bought recently, may decide to sell as the price approaches their entry point to recover their investment.

FxPro analyst Alex Kuptsikevich believes that the market will test the 200-day moving average, describing it as an essential target for bearish sentiment. Going further, analyst Beth Kindig expressed a more pessimistic view, stating, “We believe that one more large drop is coming over the next several months,” although she did not specify a price level. Analysts had similarly anticipated a Bitcoin bottom in August, and both August lows endured through the market’s fluctuations.

Level Source Has It Held Before?
Bitcoin $79,000 area (ceiling) CryptoQuant Closed at $80,443 on November 4, then fell to $76,006
Bitcoin 200-day average, $73,177 FxPro’s Kuptsikevich Currently holding, 2.5% above it
Ethereum 200-day average, $2,155 FxPro’s Kuptsikevich Already lost, about 1% below it
Bitcoin August low, $62,844 Price history Held and closed at $80,268 on August 27
Ethereum August low, $1,874 Price history Held, and closed at $2,515 on August 21

Can Bitcoin hold above these key levels?

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

Sam Daodu

Sam Daodu is a crypto analyst and the editor of 24/7 Wall St.'s Crypto Desk, where he covers Bitcoin, XRP, Ethereum, Solana and the altcoins investors search for most. His work focuses on price levels, spot ETF flows, on-chain data and the regulatory decisions that move crypto markets, written so a first-time buyer and a seasoned trader can both use it.
Sam has written about crypto professionally since 2019 and has published more than 2,000 articles. Before joining 24/7 Wall St., he wrote for crypto media outlets and Web3 companies and ghostwrote for crypto founders and token launches. His analysis is syndicated on Yahoo Finance, MSN and AOL and has been cited by other crypto news sites. He also founded MacLabs Marketing, a content and personal branding agency for crypto founders and executives.
When he isn't reading charts, Sam is usually at the gym or watching One Piece, a series he maintains has better tokenomics than most altcoins.

All articles →