Krispy Kreme Oozes on Guidance

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By Jon C. Ogg Published
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doughnuts

Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. (NYSE: KKD) saw its shares getting creamed in the after-hours session on Monday. The company’s first quarter earnings of fiscal 2015 met estimates at $0.23 EPS, but revenue rose by less than 1% to $121.6 million in revenues. Thomson Reuters had estimates of $0.23 EPS, but revenue expectations were $126.7 million. This was one of the most active stocks on downward volume in the after-hours trading session.

Light revenues was one thing, but lower guidance for this year’s earnings expectation is really adding a  slam to the donut maker. Krispy Kreme now sees earnings of $0.69 to $0.74 per share from $0.73 to $0.79 per share previously expected. Thomson Reuters was looking for $0.78 per share.

The company did say that its system-wide store count rose by 3.3% since year-end to 855 company and franchise shops worldwide, and it also said that domestic same store sales rose by 2.3%. The problem is that constant currency international franchise same store sales declined 2.2%. Operating income rose 6.6% in the last quarter to $16.2 million from $15.2 million, while the adjusted net income rose 12.2% to $15.8 million.

It sounds great that this last quarter was the highest quarterly pretax earnings for a single quarter in over ten years, but the company also pulled the blame-game on severe winter weather adversely affecting its store sales and off-site sales.

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The lower annual income guidance takes into account the first quarter performance, higher investment costs for a new enterprise resource planning system, and higher costs tied to executive management succession. Achievement of the revised forecast would represent a year-over-year increase of between 13% and 21% in adjusted earnings per share from the $0.61 per share reported for fiscal 2014 which, was, in turn, up 30% from fiscal 2013.

Krispy Kreme shares were up almost 1% at $19.00 on Monday against a 52-week range of $15.35 to $26.63. Unfortunately, its stock fell 10% to $17.05 in the after-hours trading session after the guidance was seen.

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About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. www.247wallst.com.

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