According to the Retail 100, the 20 largest retailers, excluding fast food, include eight walking wounded, which are chains that already have shown loses, closed stores and laid off employees, or are already, in the case of Sears Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: SHLD), potential Chapter 11 candidates. These are Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT) with 300,000 employees, Macy’s Inc. (NYSE: M) with 125,000, Sears with 120,000, J.C. Penney Co. Inc. (NYSE: JCP) with 80,000, Kohl’s Corp. (NYSE: KSS) with 25,000, Gap Inc. (NYSE: GPS) with 115,000, Best Buy Co. Inc. (NYSE: BBY) with 125,000, and Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWN) with 80,000. Together, they have 970,000 employees.
These do not include jobs at retailers that are doing moderately well, for now. This includes Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) and Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASDAQ: COST), both of which face the headwinds their weaker rivals do.
Granted, a large number of people at these companies do not work at stores or in warehouse or logistical operations which serve these stores directly. Headquarters and administrative staff, do, however, rely almost completely on their store performance for ongoing employment.
The extent to which any of these jobs are at risk depends on how deep the problems become, and some experts believe it will become extremely deep.
According to CNBC:
The retail industry’s pain is being felt by its massive workforce.
Barely a quarter into 2017, year-to-date store closings have already topped the historical high of 2008, a Credit Suisse report said Thursday. About 2,880 stores have closed year to date, compared with 1,153 at the same time last year.
Since 60 percent of store closures are typically announced in the first five months of the year, Credit Suisse estimates there could be more than 8,640 store closings this year.
The impact of these closures — a mixture of shrinking store fleets and Chapter 11 filings — is already trickling into the industry’s nearly 16 million jobs. Almost 30,000 retail workers lost their jobs in March, and more than 60,000 jobs have been eliminated since January.
Over 60,000 jobs lost in one quarter. And the trend appears to be accelerating.