Retail

Earnings Previews: Best Buy, Dick's, Dollar Tree

Dick’s Sporting Goods

Sporting gear retailer Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc. (NYSE: DKS) has posted a share price gain of almost 175% over the past 12 months, including an increase of 163% to date this year.

Earlier this month, Dick’s announced a so-called connected partnership with Nike. The deal allows the two companies’ customers to connect the two rewards programs and shop for an expanded selection of Nike gear on Dick’s mobile app. The day the deal was signed, Dick’s stock dropped a couple of points and Nike stock added a couple. Dick’s 12-month share price growth is about five times Nike’s share price growth in the same period.

Analyst sentiment trends toward bullish, with 13 of 26 ratings at Buy or Strong Buy. Another 12 analysts rate the stock at Hold. At a share price of around $139.20, the upside potential based on a median price target of $147.50 is 6%. At the high target of $180, the upside potential is more than 29%.

For the company’s third quarter of fiscal 2022, analysts are expecting revenue of $2.48 billion, down 24% sequentially but up 2.9% year over year. Adjusted EPS are forecast at $2.01, down 60% sequentially and flat year over year. For the fiscal year ending in January, EPS are currently forecast to come in at $13.22, up 116%, on sales of $11.79 billion, up 23%.

Dick’s share price to earnings multiple for fiscal 2022 is 10.6. For fiscal 2023, the multiple to estimated EPS of $9.51 is 14.7, and for 2024, it is 14.0 times estimated EPS of $9.96. The stock’s 52-week range is $51.51 to $147.39. Dick’s pays an annual dividend of $1.75 (yield of 1.3%). Total shareholder return for the past year is just over 165%.

Dollar Tree

Off-price retailer Dollar Tree Inc. (NASDAQ: DLTR) has added almost 40% to its share price over the past 12 months. Since bottoming out in late September, the stock is up about 59%. Rival Dollar General is up about 8.4% over the past year and up 3.2% since late September.

After markets closed last Friday, The Wall Street Journal reported that an activist investor had acquired a stake of $1.8 billion in the company and is prepared to force the company to do something to bolster its share price. It seems to be working, as the share price is up almost 20% so far this week.

Analysts remain in a wait-and-see mode, however. Of 27 brokerages covering the stock, 16 rate the stock at Hold, and only nine have Buy or Strong Buy rating. At a share price of around $134.50, the stock has outrun its median price target of $111. Based on a high price target of $175, the upside potential is 30%.

Third-quarter fiscal 2022 revenue is forecast at $6.42 billion, up 1.3% sequentially and 2.3% year over year. Adjusted EPS are forecast at $0.95, down 22.6% sequentially and nearly 32% year over year. For the full fiscal year, analysts expect Dollar Tree to post EPS of $5.56, down 1.6%, on sales of $26.27 billion, up 3%.

Dollar Tree’s share price to earnings multiple for fiscal 2022 is 24.2. For fiscal 2023, the multiple to estimated EPS of $6.29 is 21.4, and for 2024, it is 18.0 times estimated EPS of $7.49. The stock’s 52-week range is $84.26 to $135.59. The high was posted Friday morning. Dollar Tree does not pay a dividend. Total shareholder return for the past year is just over 42%.

Sponsored: Find a Qualified Financial Advisor

Finding a qualified financial advisor doesn’t have to be hard. SmartAsset’s free tool matches you with up to 3 fiduciary financial advisors in your area in 5 minutes. Each advisor has been vetted by SmartAsset and is held to a fiduciary standard to act in your best interests. If you’re ready to be matched with local advisors that can help you achieve your financial goals, get started now.