It seems that most economists are somewhat pessimistic, with 38% of those surveyed by the National Association for Business Economics in August 2019 expecting a recession in 2020, and 34% in 2021. There are several ways investors can protect their assets from a recession — including diversification, increasing the cash and fixed income portions, and investing more in safer, dividend-paying stocks. Some methods, however, are available only to wealthy investors.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission defines accredited investors as those earning an income that exceeds $200,000 (or $300,000 together with a spouse) or those with a net worth of more than $1 million, alone or with a spouse (excluding the value of the person’s primary residence). Many U.S. senators can easily qualify. Here’s how rich every U.S. senator is.
Such individuals not only typically have professionally managed portfolios, but they also have access to securities offerings that are not available to investors of lesser means. Accredited investors are deemed financially sophisticated and better able to understand the risks and withstand the losses of those offerings than less affluent investors. It is with these investments that the wealthy can better protect their assets during recessions.
24/7 Wall St. relied on our editors’ knowledge and reviewed several financial sources to find the strategies and investments the wealthy safeguard their assets during downturns.
While some of the investments listed here are available to all investors, such as investing in defensive, dividend-paying stocks, the wealthy can certainly afford to buy more of them. Other strategies, on the other hand, are only available to accredited investors because of the larger minimum investments they require and the typically far higher risks.
During recessions, the rich can use their wealth to invest in beaten-down assets to later reap the rewards during the growth period. While lower-means investors tend to safeguard their hard-earned money in hard times, the wealthy have enough to spare and can take advantage of the lower prices to buy real estate, stocks, and commodities. This is how the rich get richer. Since the last recession, net worth is down for all but the top 10% of earners, and the number of billionaires in the United States has more than doubled in the last decade, according to UBS. Find out how much you need to make to be in the 1% in every state.
No doubt, tax havens are controversial, with some experts arguing that, due to their lack of transparency, they contributed to the global financial crisis between 2007 and 2009. Regardless, tax havens — places that offer low or no taxes on cash held there, and secrecy — remain a legal way to funnel funds and keep them tax free. Well-known tax havens include Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Bermuda, Luxembourg, Ireland, and Panama. These are the U.S. states with no income tax.
While such a discussion may seem irrelevant to the average investor, the wealthy take advantage of tax havens by opening an account in one of these places and transferring funds to pay the going tax rate in the locale. This is not easily done, and to be legal, the funds cannot have passed through the U.S. The funds held in a tax haven may provide some protection during a recession as at the very least they are not taxed and may not be subject to the same market forces as in the United States.
It is important to note that lawmakers passed in 2010 the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, which requires U.S. taxpayers holding financial assets outside the United States to report those assets to the Internal Revenue Service.
Generally, bonds and other fixed-income instruments are considered safer than equities and provide some protection if the market sinks. While federal-issued bills and bonds are deemed the safest, municipal bonds, or munis — issued by states and local governments (counties, cities, and other entities) — still provide relative safety. According to the investment management company Invesco, muni issues have also had low historical correlation with other asset classes, including equities and U.S. Treasuries, meaning that if stock markets decline, munis may not decline as much or at all, thus providing more stability to a portfolio.
Municipal bonds, which historically have had low default rates, have the added benefit of providing tax-free investment income to in-state investors over time. While the interest paid on municipal issues is exempt from federal taxes, a state may tax muni bonds from other states, and investors also have to pay taxes on capital gains if they sell a bond prior to maturity for more than they paid. Here are 17 investments and strategies to help lower your taxes.
Real estate investments
Following the housing market crash and the recession, investing in real estate to protect against recession might sound dicey. But the wealthy can afford to invest in commercial properties, specifically multifamily and storage-units investing — directly or through REITs (real estate investment trusts). Such properties are considered recession resistant because they provide rental income during hard times — people always need shelter, and storage does even better during lean times.
One way to invest in real estate is through crowdfunded real estate investments, which pool funds from many investors to invest in commercial and residential real estate. Many of these investments are only available to accredited (wealthy) investors and may provide high returns. While they add diversification, the risks of real estate investing remain.
Owning put options
A put option gives the holder the right to sell a certain asset at an agreed-upon price in the future (within a fixed time frame). The buyer of the put option expects the underlying asset, say a stock or currency, to depreciate in value below the strike price before the option expires. If the price of the underlying asset indeed drops, the value of the option increases — the options themselves can be traded — protecting the investor against a drop in the asset’s value. If the price does not fall, put option buyers stand to lose what they paid for the option.
Because put options are not direct investments, but derivative financial instruments — a contract related to the value of the underlying asset — they are significantly more speculative, although not as risky as shorting. And, of course, buying put options requires an additional outlay of funds, but these investments tend to come at a relatively low cost. While put options are available to smaller investors, such a hedging strategy is often more suited to larger portfolios managed by professionals. To invest in put options, smaller investors need to get permission from their brokers, and for that they need to provide various types of information, including personal financial information.
Writing call options
Selling call options is somewhat of a reverse strategy from buying put options to protect against a recession. A call option provides the owner the right, not the obligation, to buy the underlying asset at a certain price within a specific time frame. Investors who expect the price of a security, say a stock, they own to drop, can sell call options on that stock.
Sellers of call options earn the premium (the price at which they sold the options), helping to offset any future price drops. If the price of the asset increases above the strike price, they will likely have to sell at the strike price, but if it remains the same or declines, they will not need to sell the stock and may keep it.