Special Report

This Is the Most Overpriced Housing Market in America

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Demand for housing has risen sharply in 2021, and that has affected prices. According to the carefully followed S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, home prices nationwide rose 19.1% in October, compared to the same month last year. In several markets, the figure was over 25%.

Because of the high demand for housing in some markets, sellers are able to command a premium price for their homes – and the most overpriced housing market in America is Boise City, Idaho. (And this city has the most expensive houses in America.)

No single factor has caused these increases in demand for housing. Certainly, low mortgage rates have contributed, although these have begun to rise. Tens of thousands of people have departed expensive coastal cities such as New York and San Francisco, where home prices exceed twice the national median, for cities inland where prices have been lower. The ability to work from home, brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic, has allowed many Americans to become mobile.

Ironically, the move inland has pushed home prices higher in cities people have found attractive for their new lives. With limited supply, bidding wars, in which more than one buyer puts an offer for the same home, have also contributed to price increases. Homes in some cities now stay on the market for just a few days. (Still, you can buy a home for under $100,000 in these American cities.)

The high demand for homes in recently desirable cities has caused them to become overvalued, compared to historical numbers. Florida Atlantic University’s College of Business has tracked the value of homes in the top 100 U.S. housing markets. 

The researchers, Ken H. Johnson, Ph.D., and Eli Beracha, Ph.D., “have developed a methodology to score the top 100 most overpriced or underpriced metropolitan cities in the U.S.” They used data from Zillow, specifically the Zillow Home Value Index, and a series of complex formulas that take into account home prices over a period of years.

24/7 Wall St. reviewed the study to find the most overpriced housing market in America. The city that carries the largest premium for home prices is Boise City, Idaho, with a premium of 78.36%. This is well above the second-highest premium, which is 57.96% in Austin, Texas. 

No cities on either coast made the top 10 cities on the list. Tampa, Florida, which is ranked 15th, carries the highest premium of coastal cities at 39.94%.

Click here to see this Is the most overpriced housing market in America

Source: Davel5957 / Getty Images

50. Fresno, CA
> Premium on home price: +23.92%
> Avg. home price: $360,587
> Expected home price: $290,985

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Source: SeanPavonePhoto / iStock via Getty Images

49. Birmingham, AL
> Premium on home price: +24.55%
> Avg. home price: $215,449
> Expected home price: $172,980

Source: DenisTangneyJr / iStock via Getty Images

48. Riverside, CA
> Premium on home price: +25.17%
> Avg. home price: $529,415
> Expected home price: $422,957

Source: Brandon Williams / iStock via Getty Images

47. Sacramento, CA
> Premium on home price: +25.31%
> Avg. home price: $570,569
> Expected home price: $455,309

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46. Toledo, OH
> Premium on home price: +26.37%
> Avg. home price: $154,443
> Expected home price: $122,213

Source: Rut Mehta / iStock via Getty Images

45. San Antonio, TX
> Premium on home price: +26.42%
> Avg. home price: $269,724
> Expected home price: $213,357

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44. Kansas City, MO
> Premium on home price: +26.56%
> Avg. home price: $261,238
> Expected home price: $206,412

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43. Akron, OH
> Premium on home price: +27.22%
> Avg. home price: $190,207
> Expected home price: $149,513

Source: Kruck20 / iStock via Getty Images

42. Greenville, SC
> Premium on home price: +27.69%
> Avg. home price: $261,408
> Expected home price: $204,726

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41. Buffalo, NY
> Premium on home price: +27.70%
> Avg. home price: $226,248
> Expected home price: $177,168

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40. Albuquerque, NM
> Premium on home price: +27.72%
> Avg. home price: $279,710
> Expected home price: $218,996

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39. Jacksonville, FL
> Premium on home price: +30.31%
> Avg. home price: $314,569
> Expected home price: $241,399

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38. Chattanooga, TN
> Premium on home price: +30.47%
> Avg. home price: $232,860
> Expected home price: $178,478

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37. Winston Salem, NC
> Premium on home price: +30.60%
> Avg. home price: $207,123
> Expected home price: $158,596

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36. Cincinnati, OH
> Premium on home price: +31.02%
> Avg. home price: $238,813
> Expected home price: $182,277

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35. Denver, CO
> Premium on home price: +31.12%
> Avg. home price: $577,543
> Expected home price: $440,459

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34. Seattle, WA
> Premium on home price: +31.18%
> Avg. home price: $706,964
> Expected home price: $538,943

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33. Orlando, FL
> Premium on home price: +31.19%
> Avg. home price: $332,633
> Expected home price: $253,560

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32. Knoxville, TN
> Premium on home price: +31.28%
> Avg. home price: $269,351
> Expected home price: $205,167

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31. North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
> Premium on home price: +31.67%
> Avg. home price: $397,995
> Expected home price: $302,276

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30. Greensboro, NC
> Premium on home price: +32.80%
> Avg. home price: $203,217
> Expected home price: $153,022

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29. Cleveland, OH
> Premium on home price: +33.52%
> Avg. home price: $199,727
> Expected home price: $149,589

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28. Columbus, OH
> Premium on home price: +34.11%
> Avg. home price: $269,247
> Expected home price: $200,766

Source: Sean Pavone / iStock via Getty Images

27. Indianapolis, IN
> Premium on home price: +34.86%
> Avg. home price: $239,443
> Expected home price: $177,549

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26. Daytona Beach, FL
> Premium on home price: +35.04%
> Avg. home price: $301,804
> Expected home price: $223,494

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25. Youngstown, OH
> Premium on home price: +35.12%
> Avg. home price: $132,047
> Expected home price: $97,723

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24. Tucson, AZ
> Premium on home price: +36.04%
> Avg. home price: $309,330
> Expected home price: $227,376

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23. Dayton, OH
> Premium on home price: +36.55%
> Avg. home price: $175,148
> Expected home price: $128,270

Source: Thomas_Kelley / iStock Editorial via Getty Images

22. Melbourne, FL
> Premium on home price: +36.66%
> Avg. home price: $307,812
> Expected home price: $225,247

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21. Nashville, TN
> Premium on home price: +37.08%
> Avg. home price: $384,321
> Expected home price: $280,358

Source: LUNAMARINA / Getty Images

20. Fort Myers, FL
> Premium on home price: +37.13%
> Avg. home price: $344,810
> Expected home price: $251,439

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19. Grand Rapids, MI
> Premium on home price: +38.14%
> Avg. home price: $276,826
> Expected home price: $200,389

Source: TrongNguyen / iStock via Getty Images

18. Dallas-Fort Worth, TX
> Premium on home price: +38.18%
> Avg. home price: $338,194
> Expected home price: $244,743

Source: Mark Howard / iStock via Getty Images

17. Raleigh, NC
> Premium on home price: +38.76%
> Avg. home price: $391,444
> Expected home price: $282,093

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Source: Sean Pavone / iStock via Getty Images

16. Memphis, TN
> Premium on home price: +39.69%
> Avg. home price: $205,936
> Expected home price: $147,421

Source: SeanPavonePhoto / iStock via Getty Images

15. Tampa, FL
> Premium on home price: +39.94%
> Avg. home price: $323,040
> Expected home price: $230,843

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Source: Sean Pavone / iStock via Getty Images

14. Lakeland, FL
> Premium on home price: +40.58%
> Avg. home price: $267,184
> Expected home price: $190,054

Source: Jacob Boomsma / iStock via Getty Images

13. Colorado Springs, CO
> Premium on home price: +41.80%
> Avg. home price: $452,127
> Expected home price: $318,846

Source: DenisTangneyJr / iStock via Getty Images

12. Stockton, CA
> Premium on home price: +42.03%
> Avg. home price: $526,520
> Expected home price: $370,716

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Source: Kruck20 / iStock via Getty Images

11. Charlotte, NC
> Premium on home price: +44.58%
> Avg. home price: $329,961
> Expected home price: $228,218

Source: f11photo / iStock via Getty Images

10. Detroit, MI
> Premium on home price: +47.23%
> Avg. home price: $225,601
> Expected home price: $153,230

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Source: 4kodiak / Getty Images

9. Salt Lake City, UT
> Premium on home price: +47.32%
> Avg. home price: $544,529
> Expected home price: $369,626

Source: Kruck20 / iStock via Getty Images

8. Atlanta, GA
> Premium on home price: +47.53%
> Avg. home price: $330,218
> Expected home price: $223,835

Source: benedek / iStock via Getty Images

7. Spokane, WA
> Premium on home price: +48.94%
> Avg. home price: $402,085
> Expected home price: $269,963

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Source: mvp64 / iStock via Getty Images

6. Las Vegas, NV
> Premium on home price: +49.39%
> Avg. home price: $391,346
> Expected home price: $261,958

Source: Sean Pavone / iStock via Getty Images

5. Provo, UT
> Premium on home price: +49.81%
> Avg. home price: $530,171
> Expected home price: $353,892

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Source: 4kodiak / E+ via Getty Images

4. Phoenix, AZ
> Premium on home price: +50.14%
> Avg. home price: $422,463
> Expected home price: $281,372

Source: DenisTangneyJr / iStock via Getty Images

3. Ogden, UT
> Premium on home price: +55.94%
> Avg. home price: $482,461
> Expected home price: $309,392

Source: RoschetzkyIstockPhoto / iStock via Getty Images

2. Austin, TX
> Premium on home price: +57.96%
> Avg. home price: $534,433
> Expected home price: $338,345

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1. Boise City, ID
> Premium on home price: +78.36%
> Avg. home price: $500,137
> Expected home price: $280,406

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