Why Oracle Is Not Worried About the Strong Dollar

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Source: courtesy of Oracle
Oracle Corp. (NYSE: ORCL) released its fiscal third-quarter earnings report Tuesday after the markets closed. The tech giant had $0.68 in earnings per share (EPS) on $9.3 billion in revenue, versus the Thomson Reuters consensus estimates of $0.68 in EPS on $9.46 billion in revenue. The same period from the previous year had $0.68 in EPS on $9.32 billion in revenue.

The currency fluctuation toward a stronger dollar hurt Oracle in its fiscal third quarter. Operating income was down 4% to $4.2 billion, and the operating margin was 45%. However, without the negative foreign exchange impact, operating income would have been up 4% and operating margin would have been 46%.

Total revenues would have been up 6% if they had been measured in constant currency. In terms of the other segments:

  • Software and Cloud revenues were up 1% to $7.2 billion, and up 7% in constant currency.
  • Cloud software-as-a-service (SaaS) and platform-as-a-service (PaaS) revenues grew 30% to $372 million, and were up 34% on a constant currency basis.
  • Hardware Systems revenues were down 2% to $1.3 billion, but rose 5% in constant currency.

During this quarter, Oracle also announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.15 per share of outstanding common stock, reflecting a 25% increase from the current quarterly dividend of $0.12.

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Larry Ellison, Oracle’s chairman and chief technology officer, remained committed to the goal of blowing out cloud sales in fiscal year 2015:

We are well on our way to selling over $1 billion of new SaaS and PaaS business in calendar 2015. has announced that it also expects to add about $1 billion of new SaaS and PaaS business this year. So it’s going to be a close race who sells more in the cloud this year, us or them. Stay tuned.

If Oracle can continue to grow the SaaS and PaaS segment and execute the plan that Ellison previously set in motion, the company will be way better off in the long run. The strong dollar will pass as most currency fluctuations do, and at that point Oracle will be better positioned to capitalize after developing this segment.

In the week ahead of earnings, quite a few analysts made calls on Oracle and the direction that it is headed. Sentiment was somewhat mixed:

  • RBC Capital has a Sector Perform rating and increased its price target by $1 to $48.
  • BMO Capital Markets has a Buy rating with a price target of $49.
  • Credit Suisse has a Buy rating and a price target of $47.50.
  • Stifel Nicolaus maintained a Buy rating with a price target of $49.
  • Jefferies has a Hold rating with a price target of $41.
  • Deutsche Bank maintained a Hold rating and price target of $44.

On Tuesday, shares of Oracle closed down 1.2% at $42.87. The initial response in after-hours trading was positive and shares were up 0.7% at $43.18 following the report. The stock has a consensus analyst price target of $45.46 and a 52-week trading range of $35.82 to $46.71.

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