Q2 26 EPS
$0.15
BEAT +227.51%
Est. $0.05
Q2 26 Revenue
$16.74B
BEAT +0.26%
Est. $16.69B
Market Reaction
Did AAL Beat Earnings? Q2 2026 Results
American Airlines delivered a stronger-than-expected second quarter, posting adjusted EPS of $0.15 against a consensus estimate of $0.05, a beat of 227.51%, even as a severe fuel cost surge compressed margins to their thinnest levels in years. Revenu… Read more American Airlines delivered a stronger-than-expected second quarter, posting adjusted EPS of $0.15 against a consensus estimate of $0.05, a beat of 227.51%, even as a severe fuel cost surge compressed margins to their thinnest levels in years. Revenue climbed 16.3% year over year to a quarterly record of $16.73 billion, edging past the $16.69 billion consensus, with broad-based strength across passenger, cargo, and ancillary lines. The headline story, however, was fuel: aircraft fuel expense jumped 83.3% year over year to $4.88 billion, with the average price per gallon rising to $4.05 from $2.29, driving GAAP operating income down 60.7% to $446 million and GAAP net income down 88.2% to $71 million. The company offset nearly half of the $2.20 billion fuel headwind through higher fares, but operating margin still contracted sharply to 2.7%. Analysts had flagged elevated capacity growth as a potential pricing risk heading into the second half, and that concern is reflected in Q3 adjusted EPS guidance of ($0.70) to ($0.10), with full-year 2026 EPS guided to ($0.65) to $0.65 amid roughly $6 billion in year-over-year fuel cost headwinds.
Key Takeaways
- • Record quarterly revenue of $16.7 billion driven by strong demand across all entities and cabins
- • Premium passenger unit revenue up 13.4% year over year; Main Cabin passenger unit revenue up 8.8%
- • Managed corporate revenue increased 26% year over year, fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth
- • Domestic passenger unit revenue growth of 10.6%
- • International passenger unit revenue strong: Atlantic up 8.9%, Pacific up 15.1%, Latin America up 6.6%
- • DFW rebanking reduced system misconnections by nearly 25% year over year
- • AAdvantage enrollments grew over 30% year over year
- • Capacity grew 5.4% year over year
AAL Forward Guidance & Outlook
American expects Q3 2026 revenue growth of 16.0% to 19.0% year over year, with capacity (ASMs) up 3.0% to 5.0%. CASM excluding special items, fuel and profit sharing is expected to increase 2.5% to 4.5% year over year. Based on the forward fuel curve as of July 21, Q3 average fuel price is anticipated at approximately $3.75 per gallon, with Q3 fuel expense up $1.7 billion year over year. Q3 adjusted EPS is guided to a range of ($0.70) to ($0.10). Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance is ($0.65) to $0.65, reflecting approximately $6 billion in year-over-year fuel cost headwinds. Revenue momentum is expected to continue into the second half supported by strong demand.
AAL YoY Financials
Q2 2026 vs Q2 2025, source: SEC Filings
AAL Revenue by Segment
With YoY comparisons, source: SEC Filings
AAL Revenue by Geography
With YoY comparisons, source: SEC Filings
“American delivered year-over-year revenue growth of more than 16% in the second quarter, exceeding our initial expectations and continuing the momentum we've built across the business. This performance reflects the strength of our commercial strategy, driven by our four pillars: elevate the customer experience, grow the global network, drive premium revenue and lead in loyalty.”
— Robert Isom, Q2 2026 Earnings Press Release
AAL Earnings Trends
AAL vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
AAL EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
AAL Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
AAL Quarterly Results
6 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 26 BEAT | $0.05 | $0.15 | +227.51% | $16.74B | +0.26% |
| Q1 26 BEAT | $-0.46 | $-0.40 | +13.04% | $13.91B | +1.21% |
| Q4 25 MISS FY | $0.35 | $0.16 | -54.57% | $14.00B | -0.25% |
| FY Full Year | — | $0.36 | — | $54.63B | — |
| Q3 25 BEAT | $-0.28 | $-0.17 | +38.20% | $13.69B | +0.48% |
| Q2 25 BEAT | $0.77 | $0.95 | +22.98% | $14.39B | +0.69% |
| Q1 25 BEAT | $-0.67 | $-0.59 | +12.12% | $12.55B | -0.06% |