Alaska Air Group (ALK) Q2 2025 Earnings
How Did ALK Stock React to Q2 2025 Earnings?
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +1.27%.
Did ALK Beat Earnings? Q2 2025 Results
Yes. Alaska Air Group reported Q2 2025 earnings of $1.78 a share on Jul 23, 2025, beating the $1.55 consensus estimate by 15.0%. Revenue was $3.7B against a $3.7B estimate.
Alaska Air Group posted a strong second quarter, delivering adjusted earnings of $1.78 per share and beating the $1.55 consensus estimate by 15.01%, while total operating revenue of $3.70 billion edged past expectations by 1.36% and climbed 27.9% year-over-year. The headline revenue growth was heavily shaped by the September 2024 Hawaiian Airlines acquisition, though on a pro forma basis the combined carrier still grew revenue 2% and expects to lead the industry on RASM trends. The most compelling driver behind the beat was Hawaiian's own trajectory: the acquired carrier's adjusted pretax margin expanded by 11 points year-over-year in Q2, crossing into positive territory and reinforcing management's confidence in its $1 billion incremental profit target by 2027. For investors who had flagged execution and integration risks as near-term concerns, the quarter offered meaningful reassurance. Looking ahead, Alaska guided full-year adjusted EPS above $3.25 and Q3 EPS of $1.00 to $1.40, the latter reflecting an estimated $0.10 hit from a July IT outage, while trimming capacity growth to roughly 2% for the year.
- Hawaiian Airlines integration progressing — adjusted pretax margin expanded 11 points year-over-year, surpassing breakeven
- 49% of revenue generated outside the main cabin
- Premium revenue grew 5% year-over-year
- Cargo revenue grew 34% year-over-year
- Loyalty program cash remuneration grew 5% year-over-year
- Economic fuel cost per gallon declined to $2.39 from $2.84 year-over-year (reported basis)
- Pro forma RASM down only 0.6%, expected to lead the industry
“The results this quarter are clear evidence of our team's disciplined execution and unwavering focus on what we can control: delivering a remarkable guest experience, driving operational excellence and unlocking the value of our newly combined network and commercial platform.”
Alaska Air Group CEO, on the earnings call
What Was Alaska Air Group's Outlook in Q2 2025?
Alaska Air Group guided Q3 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.00 to $1.40, which includes an estimated ~$0.10 impact from a July IT outage. Full-year 2025 adjusted EPS is expected to be greater than $3.25. The company reduced its 2025 capacity growth expectation to approximately 2% year-over-year, trimming off-peak flying in Q3 and Q4 by 2 points each relative to prior expectations, a move expected to be margin accretive. Q3 RASM is expected to be flat to up low single digits versus pro forma 2024, and full-year RASM is expected to be flat to up low single digits. Q3 CASMex is expected to be up mid to high single digits year-over-year before improving meaningfully in Q4, with full-year unit costs expected in line with prior expectations (up mid single digits). Management noted a positive inflection in traffic, yield, and revenue intake for both Alaska and Hawaiian Airlines bookings.
ALK YoY Financials
| Metric | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | Year over year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.7B | $2.9B | +27.9% |
| Operating Income | $277.0M | $322.0M | −14.0% |
| Net Income | $172.0M | $220.0M | −21.8% |
ALK Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.