Centene Corp
Q3 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: −1.04%.
Did CNC Beat Earnings? Q3 2025 Results
Centene Corporation delivered a decisive adjusted earnings beat in Q3 2025, posting adjusted diluted EPS of $0.50 against a consensus estimate of negative $0.16, a 404.32% positive surprise, even as a $6.72 billion non-cash goodwill impairment charge drove a GAAP loss of $13.50 per share. Revenue climbed 18.2% year-over-year to $49.69 billion, beating the $47.83 billion consensus by 3.88%, with premium and service revenues surging 22% to $44.90 billion on strong Medicare PDP membership growth and Marketplace expansion. The quarter's core story, however, was cost pressure: the health benefits ratio deteriorated to 92.7% from 89.2% a year ago, weighed down by elevated Marketplace medical costs, unfavorable risk adjustment estimates, and rising Medicaid utilization in behavioral and home health services. Partially offsetting that pressure, the SG&A ratio improved to 7.0% from 8.3%, reflecting expense discipline and PDP business leverage. Management raised full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance by $0.25 to at least $2.00, signaling cautious confidence in Medicaid margin recovery despite a still-challenging regulatory and medical cost environment.
- Premium and membership growth in PDP business drove significant revenue increase
- Overall market growth in the Marketplace business
- Medicaid rate increases partially offset lower Medicaid membership
- SG&A expense ratio improved to 7.0% from 8.3% due to expense leverage over higher revenues
- Medicaid HBR of 93.4% included ~40 bps benefit from retroactive revenue adjustment from a large state
- Commercial and Medicare segment results in line with expectations
“Our third quarter results and increased full year outlook demonstrate tangible progress against the near-term milestones we laid out for investors in July.”
Centene CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
Centene updated its full year 2025 GAAP forecast to a diluted loss per share not to exceed $(12.85). The company increased its full year 2025 adjusted diluted EPS forecast to at least $2.00, an increase of $0.25 from the $1.75 forecast discussed on the July earnings call.
CNC YoY Financials
CNC Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.